The archive · process meets outcome
Draft History
Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake
1,824Picks
A+
Lewis
2024 · 16 graded picks
#1 of 12
drafters
Hit rate
50%
beat the slot
Smashes
25%
top 15% picks
Busts
13%
bottom 20%
Draft surplus
+143
useful pts
Per pick
+8.9
Best pick
+103
Ja'Marr Chase
01
Diagnosis
Lewis's drafting profile
Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.
How Lewis gets better
The film room
The Ja'Marr Chase read
Taken at pick 5 in 2024, he returned +102.8 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.
QB is your money position
2 QB picks returned 2.61× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.
RB is your blind spot
4 RB picks returned 49% of the production their slots predict. Spend less capital there or buy it later.
Late-round sniper
Rounds 10+ returned +1 over expectation. The dart throws are landing.
Isiah Pacheco still hurts
Pick 20 in 2024 came in −50.0 under the slot.
Return on draft capital
Where you hit, where you miss
QB
2.61×
2 picks · 50% beat slot
RB
0.49×
4 picks · 25% beat slot
WR
1.69×
7 picks · 57% beat slot
TE
1.11×
2 picks · 50% beat slot
K
2.45×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
Early (R1–4)
+70
4 picks · 75% hit
Mid (R5–9)
+71
5 picks · 60% hit
Late (R10+)
+1
7 picks · 29% hit
Signature steals
The picks that won
WR+103
Ja'Marr Chase
2024 · Rd 1 · pick 5 · 177.0 useful vs 74.2 expected
QB+60
Joe Burrow
2024 · Rd 5 · pick 53 · 87.5 useful vs 27.3 expected
WR+30
Jayden Reed
2024 · Rd 7 · pick 77 · 49.3 useful vs 19.8 expected
The ones that haunt
The picks that didn't
RB−50
Isiah Pacheco
2024 · Rd 2 · pick 20 · 0.6 useful vs 50.6 expected
RB−14
Gus Edwards
2024 · Rd 9 · pick 101 · 0.0 useful vs 14.1 expected
WR−11
Joshua Palmer
2024 · Rd 10 · pick 116 · 0.0 useful vs 11.1 expected
02
The room
Prior draft boards
Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.
1.01-82
David Johnson
oren
1.02+56
Le'Veon Bell
Spencer
1.03+81
Antonio Brown
Max
1.04+3
Julio Jones
Coby
1.05-43
Odell Beckham Jr.
Aidan
1.06+23
LeSean McCoy
joshua
1.07-10
Mike Evans
evan
1.08-39
Devonta Freeman
Ethan
1.09+35
Melvin Gordon III
jonah
1.10-56
Jay Ajayi
Lewis
2.01-17
A.J. Green
Lewis
2.02-29
Jordy Nelson
jonah
2.03-8
Brandin Cooks
Ethan
2.04-32
Jordan Howard
evan
2.05-16
Dez Bryant
joshua
2.06-32
DeMarco Murray
Aidan
2.07-8
Doug Baldwin
Coby
2.08-20
Michael Thomas
Max
2.09+1
Leonard Fournette
Spencer
2.10+1
T.Y. Hilton
oren
3.01+28
Ezekiel Elliott
oren
3.02-11
Amari Cooper
Spencer
3.03-49
Terrelle Pryor Sr.
Max
3.04+123
Todd Gurley
Coby
3.05-27
Christian McCaffrey
Aidan
3.06+90
DeAndre Hopkins
joshua
3.07-4
Demaryius Thomas
evan
3.08-42
Lamar Miller
Ethan
3.09-1
Carlos Hyde
jonah
3.10-20
Aaron Rodgers
Lewis
4.01+32
Rob Gronkowski
Lewis
4.02+8
Alshon Jeffery
jonah
4.03+15
Tom Brady
Ethan
4.04+16
Travis Kelce
evan
4.05-17
Drew Brees
joshua
4.06-38
Isaiah Crowell
Aidan
4.07-19
Dalvin Cook
Coby
4.08-12
Ty Montgomery II
Max
4.09+19
Davante Adams
Spencer
4.10+55
Keenan Allen
oren
5.01-32
Greg Olsen
oren
5.02-11
Jamison Crowder
Spencer
5.03-30
Joe Mixon
Max
5.04-5
Michael Crabtree
Coby
5.05-4
Kelvin Benjamin
Aidan
5.06-29
Allen Robinson
joshua
5.07-27
Marshawn Lynch
evan
5.08-14
Sammy Watkins
Ethan
5.09-8
C.J. Anderson
jonah
5.10+53
Mark Ingram II
Lewis
6.01-1
Golden Tate
Lewis
6.02+41
Jarvis Landry
jonah
6.03-14
DeVante Parker
Ethan
6.04-18
Martavis Bryant
evan
6.05-12
Jordan Reed
joshua
6.06-9
Jimmy Graham
Aidan
6.07+6
Larry Fitzgerald
Coby
6.08-24
Emmanuel Sanders
Max
6.09-25
Marcus Mariota
Spencer
6.10-26
Ameer Abdullah
oren
7.01-23
Matt Ryan
oren
7.02-24
Tyler Eifert
Spencer
7.03+20
Stefon Diggs
Max
7.04-18
Tyreek Hill
Coby
7.05-23
Willie Snead IV
Aidan
7.06+89
Kareem Hunt
joshua
7.07-23
Tyrell Williams
evan
7.08-22
Bilal Powell
Ethan
7.09+12
Russell Wilson
jonah
7.10-15
Jeremy Maclin
Lewis
8.01-20
Danny Woodhead
Lewis
8.02+15
Delanie Walker
jonah
8.03-21
Brandon Marshall
Ethan
8.04-22
Paul Perkins
evan
8.05-11
DeSean Jackson
joshua
8.06+6
Cam Newton
Aidan
8.07+20
Kirk Cousins
Coby
8.08-18
Frank Gore
Max
8.09-12
Hunter Henry
Spencer
8.10-19
Darren McFadden
oren
9.01-2
Pierre Garcon
oren
9.02-18
Mike Gillislee
Spencer
9.03-9
Tevin Coleman
Max
9.04+9
Kyle Rudolph
Coby
9.05-17
Adrian Peterson
Aidan
9.06-17
Rob Kelley
joshua
9.07-17
LeGarrette Blount
evan
9.08-17
Martellus Bennett
Ethan
9.09-16
Donte Moncrief
jonah
9.10-16
Kevin White
Lewis
10.01-16
Eddie Lacy
Lewis
10.02-3
Latavius Murray
jonah
10.03-16
Derrick Henry
Ethan
10.04+22
Chris Hogan
evan
10.05-15
Eric Decker
joshua
10.06-14
Kenny Britt
Aidan
10.07-6
Jameis Winston
Coby
10.08-14
Rishard Matthews
Max
10.09-14
Jacquizz Rodgers
Spencer
10.10+26
Seahawks
oren
11.01-13
Marvin Jones Jr.
oren
11.02-8
Corey Coleman
Spencer
11.03-10
Randall Cobb
Max
11.04-13
Jonathan Stewart
Coby
11.05-13
John Brown
Aidan
11.06+59
Adam Thielen
joshua
11.07-12
Jordan Matthews
evan
11.08-8
Ted Ginn Jr.
Ethan
11.09-12
C.J. Prosise
jonah
11.10-8
Doug Martin
Lewis
12.01-12
Zay Jones
Lewis
12.02-6
Cole Beasley
jonah
12.03-11
Theo Riddick
Ethan
12.04-11
Matt Forte
evan
12.05-11
Derek Carr
joshua
12.06-5
Mike Wallace
Aidan
12.07-11
Corey Davis
Coby
12.08+63
Zach Ertz
Max
12.09+20
Justin Tucker
Spencer
12.10-10
Andrew Luck
oren
13.01+29
Stephen Gostkowski
oren
13.02-9
Josh Doctson
Spencer
13.03+9
Chiefs
Max
13.04-9
Thomas Rawls
Coby
13.05-2
Dan Bailey
Aidan
13.06+10
Broncos
joshua
13.07-6
Cardinals
evan
13.08+17
Texans
Ethan
13.09-9
John Ross
jonah
13.10+3
Adam Vinatieri
Lewis
14.01-9
Robert Woods
Lewis
14.02+18
Vikings
jonah
14.03+3
Duke Johnson
Ethan
14.04-5
Ben Roethlisberger
evan
14.05-1
Jason Witten
joshua
14.06-6
Patriots
Aidan
14.07-8
Terrance West
Coby
14.08+6
Matthew Stafford
Max
14.09+12
Steelers
Spencer
14.10+37
Evan Engram
oren
15.01+17
Mohamed Sanu
oren
15.02-9
Andy Dalton
Spencer
15.03-9
Jeremy Hill
Max
15.04-8
Giants
Coby
15.050
Eli Manning
Aidan
15.06-7
Mason Crosby
joshua
15.07-8
Taylor Gabriel
evan
15.08+4
Graham Gano
Ethan
15.09+16
Matt Bryant
jonah
15.10-6
Raiders
Lewis
16.01-8
O.J. Howard
Lewis
16.02-9
Tyrod Taylor
jonah
16.03-3
James White
Ethan
16.04+2
Wil Lutz
evan
16.05-8
Tyler Lockett
joshua
16.06-8
Chris Conley
Aidan
16.07+8
Matt Prater
Coby
16.08-5
Stephen Hauschka
Max
16.09-8
Torrey Smith
Spencer
16.10-8
Darren Sproles
oren
03
Evidence
The year-end receipts
2024
Best drafters in the league
- 01LewisA+
- 02CobyA
- 03AidanA-
- 04TylerB+
- 05EthanB
- 06evanB-
- 07jonahC+
- 08MaxC
- 09SpencerC-
- 10dylanD+
- 11ZachD
- 12orenF
2024
League superlatives
The Oracle
Lewis
Best draft grade · A+ · +8.9/pick
The Sniper
Lewis
Best single pick over slot · Ja'Marr Chase +102.8
Bargain Hunter
Tyler
Most value from rounds 10+ · +52
Boom or Bust
Lewis
Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 33
Steady Hand
Max
Most consistent picks · σ 13
Dead Money
oren
Worst first-round return · −78
Draft day → final standings
Does the draft decide anything?
r = +0.57
Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.
Season by season
Best draft vs the champion's draft
| Season | Best draft | Finished | Champion's draft |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Aidan (A+) | 3rd | Coby (draft #2 of 12) |
| 2024 | Lewis (A+) | 5th | Ethan (draft #5 of 12) |
| 2023 | jonah (A+) | 6th | Max (draft #10 of 12) |
| 2022 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2021 | Lewis (A+) | 2nd | Tyler (draft #4 of 12) |
| 2019 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2018 | jonah (A+) | 1st | jonah (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2017 | joshua (A+) | 1st | joshua (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2016 | jonah (A+) | 2nd | Lewis (draft #7 of 10) |
04
Scouting archive
How this room drafts
Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).
| Manager | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | R15 | R16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oren | RB | WR | WR | TE | WR | WR | QB | WR | WR | RB | RB | TE | QB | DEF | K | TE |
| Spencer | WR | WR | QB | WR | TE | RB | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | WR | DEF | K | RB |
| Max | WR | RB | WR | RB | WR | RB | WR | TE | QB | RB | RB | TE | WR | TE | WR | WR |
| dylan | RB | WR | RB | WR | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | RB | QB | DEF | K | RB | ||
| Lewis | WR | RB | TE | WR | QB | WR | WR | RB | RB | WR | RB | WR | K | TE | QB | WR |
| Aidan | RB | WR | WR | RB | TE | RB | WR | WR | WR | RB | K | WR | RB | DEF | ||
| Coby | WR | RB | WR | RB | QB | WR | RB | WR | RB | TE | WR | RB | RB | WR | K | WR |
| jonah | WR | RB | TE | RB | QB | WR | WR | WR | RB | WR | WR | TE | K | DEF | QB | RB |
| Zach | WR | RB | WR | WR | TE | QB | RB | TE | RB | RB | WR | K | RB | WR | WR | DEF |
| Ethan | RB | WR | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | TE | RB | QB | RB | WR | RB | WR | K | WR |
| evan | RB | WR | WR | WR | RB | QB | RB | TE | WR | WR | DEF | K | WR | QB | RB | WR |
| Tyler | WR | RB | WR | QB | RB | RB | WR | RB | WR | TE | TE | WR | WR | DEF | TE | K |
All drafts on record
League draft meta
| Position | Avg first off the board | Median pick | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | pick 30 (≈ R3) | 85 | 21–192 |
| RB | pick 2 (≈ R1) | 76 | 1–192 |
| WR | pick 3 (≈ R1) | 81 | 1–191 |
| TE | pick 17 (≈ R2) | 90 | 3–192 |
| K | pick 125 (≈ R11) | 156 | 96–192 |
| DEF | pick 110 (≈ R10) | 144 | 84–191 |