The archive · process meets outcome

Draft History

Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake

1,824Picks

Last year Last 3 years All time

A+

jonah

2016 · 16 graded picks

#1 of 10

drafters

Hit rate

50%

beat the slot

Smashes

38%

top 15% picks

Busts

13%

bottom 20%

Draft surplus

+216

useful pts

Per pick

+13.5

Best pick

+76

Ezekiel Elliott

Diagnosis

jonah's drafting profile

Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.

How jonah gets better

The film room

The Ezekiel Elliott read

Taken at pick 14 in 2016, he returned +76.4 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.

QB is your money position

2 QB picks returned 3.02× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.

Late-round sniper

Rounds 10+ returned +18 over expectation. The dart throws are landing.

Alshon Jeffery still hurts

Pick 27 in 2016 came in −23.1 under the slot.

Return on draft capital

Where you hit, where you miss

3.02×

2 picks · 50% beat slot

1.57×

4 picks · 50% beat slot

1.06×

6 picks · 50% beat slot

2.23×

2 picks · 50% beat slot

0.00×

1 picks · 0% beat slot

DEF

3.78×

1 picks · 100% beat slot

Early (R1–4)

+90

4 picks · 75% hit

Mid (R5–9)

+108

5 picks · 60% hit

Late (R10+)

+18

7 picks · 29% hit

Signature steals

The picks that won

Ezekiel Elliott

2016 · Rd 2 · pick 14 · 138.0 useful vs 61.6 expected

+76

Drew Brees

2016 · Rd 7 · pick 67 · 95.0 useful vs 22.8 expected

+72

Travis Kelce

2016 · Rd 6 · pick 54 · 85.8 useful vs 27.0 expected

+59

The ones that haunt

The picks that didn't

Alshon Jeffery

2016 · Rd 3 · pick 27 · 22.3 useful vs 45.4 expected

−23

Tyler Lockett

2016 · Rd 8 · pick 74 · 0.0 useful vs 21.7 expected

−22

Charles Sims

2016 · Rd 14 · pick 134 · 0.0 useful vs 9.2 expected

−9

The room

Prior draft boards

Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.

1.01+95

Todd Gurley

jonah

1.02-82

David Johnson

Spencer

1.03-79

Le'Veon Bell

Ethan

1.04-45

Antonio Brown

Zach

1.05+57

Alvin Kamara

Coby

1.06+53

DeAndre Hopkins

joshua

1.07+62

Ezekiel Elliott

evan

1.08-56

Odell Beckham Jr.

Max

1.09-9

Saquon Barkley

oren

1.10+27

Kareem Hunt

Aidan

2.01+57

Michael Thomas

Aidan

2.02-37

Julio Jones

oren

2.03-60

Leonard Fournette

Max

2.04+47

Melvin Gordon III

evan

2.05+29

Keenan Allen

joshua

2.06-51

Davante Adams

Coby

2.07+100

Christian McCaffrey

Zach

2.08-50

Mike Evans

Ethan

2.09-8

A.J. Green

Spencer

2.10+96

Travis Kelce

jonah

3.01+72

Tyreek Hill

jonah

3.02-45

Jordan Howard

Spencer

3.03-44

T.Y. Hilton

Ethan

3.04-14

Rob Gronkowski

Zach

3.05-44

Dalvin Cook

Coby

3.06+69

Adam Thielen

joshua

3.07+43

Stefon Diggs

evan

3.08-42

Devonta Freeman

Max

3.09-18

JuJu Smith-Schuster

oren

3.10+21

Amari Cooper

Aidan

4.01-7

Jarvis Landry

Aidan

4.02-41

LeSean McCoy

oren

4.03-38

Larry Fitzgerald

Max

4.04-34

Doug Baldwin

evan

4.05-31

Kenyan Drake

joshua

4.06-38

Alex Collins

Coby

4.07+4

Golden Tate

Zach

4.08-2

Aaron Rodgers

Ethan

4.09+10

Deshaun Watson

Spencer

4.10-12

Josh Gordon

jonah

5.01-10

Demaryius Thomas

jonah

5.02-21

Allen Robinson

Spencer

5.03-27

Lamar Miller

Ethan

5.04-11

Tom Brady

Zach

5.05-9

Marvin Jones Jr.

Coby

5.06+40

Drew Brees

joshua

5.07+71

Zach Ertz

evan

5.08-25

Chris Hogan

Max

5.09+20

Joe Mixon

oren

5.10-23

Jimmy Graham

Aidan

6.01-28

Derrick Henry

Aidan

6.02-25

Russell Wilson

oren

6.03-27

Marquise Goodwin

Max

6.04+34

Brandin Cooks

evan

6.05-26

Royce Freeman

joshua

6.06-27

Corey Davis

Coby

6.07-3

Emmanuel Sanders

Zach

6.08-26

Jamison Crowder

Ethan

6.09-9

Mark Ingram II

Spencer

6.10-20

Jay Ajayi

jonah

7.01+21

Cooper Kupp

jonah

7.02-20

Devin Funchess

Spencer

7.03-25

Rex Burkhead

Ethan

7.04-14

Greg Olsen

Zach

7.05-16

Nelson Agholor

Coby

7.06-23

Evan Engram

joshua

7.07-15

Dion Lewis

evan

7.08-22

Alfred Morris

Max

7.09-22

Michael Crabtree

oren

7.10-21

Cam Newton

Aidan

8.01+26

Robert Woods

Aidan

8.02-14

Kyle Rudolph

oren

8.03-21

Jimmy Garoppolo

Max

8.04-1

Will Fuller V

evan

8.05-21

Robbie Chosen

joshua

8.06-19

Delanie Walker

Coby

8.07+3

Alshon Jeffery

Zach

8.08+7

Trey Burton

Ethan

8.09-19

Peyton Barber

Spencer

8.10-11

Carlos Hyde

jonah

9.01+21

Kirk Cousins

jonah

9.02-18

Keelan Cole Sr.

Spencer

9.03+2

Sterling Shepard

Ethan

9.04-10

Adrian Peterson

Zach

9.05+8

Tevin Coleman

Coby

9.06+7

Jordan Reed

joshua

9.07-17

Ronald Jones

evan

9.08-17

Sammy Watkins

Max

9.09-16

Chris Carson

oren

9.10+108

Patrick Mahomes

Aidan

10.01-16

David Njoku

Aidan

10.02-16

Jordy Nelson

oren

10.03-16

Kerryon Johnson

Max

10.04-4

Sony Michel

evan

10.05+40

Julian Edelman

joshua

10.06+1

Tyler Lockett

Coby

10.07-14

Jamaal Williams

Zach

10.08-14

Duke Johnson

Ethan

10.09-7

Jaguars

Spencer

10.10-9

Marshawn Lynch

jonah

11.01-14

Pierre Garcon

jonah

11.02-4

Chris Thompson

Spencer

11.03+50

Tarik Cohen

Ethan

11.04+26

Rams

Zach

11.05+23

Ben Roethlisberger

Coby

11.06+46

Vikings

joshua

11.07-12

DeVante Parker

evan

11.08-8

Jack Doyle

Max

11.09-9

Carson Wentz

oren

11.10-12

Isaiah Crowell

Aidan

12.01-10

Eagles

Aidan

12.02+48

George Kittle

oren

12.03-11

Aaron Jones Sr.

Max

12.04-11

Mike Williams

evan

12.05-11

Kenny Stills

joshua

12.06-11

Chris Godwin Jr.

Coby

12.07-11

Allen Hurns

Zach

12.08-10

Rishard Matthews

Ethan

12.09-10

Josh Doctson

Spencer

12.10-10

Cameron Meredith

jonah

13.01+16

Chargers

jonah

13.02-9

Rashaad Penny

Spencer

13.03-9

DJ Moore

Ethan

13.04-9

Matthew Stafford

Zach

13.05-9

James White

Coby

13.06-9

Bilal Powell

joshua

13.07+16

Jared Goff

evan

13.08-7

Saints

Max

13.09-9

Kelvin Benjamin

oren

13.10+11

Kenny Golladay

Aidan

14.01+4

Matt Breida

Aidan

14.02-9

Randall Cobb

oren

14.03+1

Marlon Mack

Max

14.04-8

Broncos

evan

14.05+32

Greg Zuerlein

joshua

14.06+29

Justin Tucker

Coby

14.07+21

Stephen Gostkowski

Zach

14.08-8

Texans

Ethan

14.09-8

Daniel Carlson

Spencer

14.10+12

O.J. Howard

jonah

15.01+8

Matt Bryant

jonah

15.02+18

Calvin Ridley

Spencer

15.03+31

Wil Lutz

Ethan

15.04-8

Anthony Miller

Zach

15.05+98

James Conner

Coby

15.06-8

James Washington

joshua

15.07-7

Jake Elliott

evan

15.08+24

Mason Crosby

Max

15.09-8

Chris Boswell

oren

15.10+21

Harrison Butker

Aidan

16.01-8

Kevin White

Aidan

16.02+14

Ravens

oren

16.03-8

Dede Westbrook

Max

16.04-8

Mohamed Sanu

evan

16.05+12

Latavius Murray

joshua

16.06+10

Andrew Luck

Coby

16.07-8

Nick Chubb

Zach

16.08-8

John Ross

Ethan

16.09-8

Hunter Henry

Spencer

16.10-8

Dez Bryant

jonah

Evidence

The year-end receipts

2016

Best drafters in the league

01jonah
A+
02Ethan
A
03joshua
A-
04Coby
B
05Aidan
B-
06Spencer
C+
07Lewis
C-
08Max
D+
09oren
D
10evan
F

2016

League superlatives

The Oracle

jonah

Best draft grade · A+ · +13.5/pick

The Sniper

Ethan

Best single pick over slot · David Johnson +106.9

Bargain Hunter

jonah

Most value from rounds 10+ · +18

Boom or Bust

Ethan

Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 33

Steady Hand

Coby

Most consistent picks · σ 18

Dead Money

Lewis

Worst first-round return · −64

Draft day → final standings

Does the draft decide anything?

r = +0.57

Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.

Season by season

Best draft vs the champion's draft

Season	Best draft	Finished	Champion's draft
2025	Aidan (A+)	3rd	Coby (draft #2 of 12)
2024	Lewis (A+)	5th	Ethan (draft #5 of 12)
2023	jonah (A+)	6th	Max (draft #10 of 12)
2022	Spencer (A+)	1st	Spencer (draft #1 of 12)
2021	Lewis (A+)	2nd	Tyler (draft #4 of 12)
2019	Spencer (A+)	1st	Spencer (draft #1 of 12)
2018	jonah (A+)	1st	jonah (draft #1 of 10)
2017	joshua (A+)	1st	joshua (draft #1 of 10)
2016	jonah (A+)	2nd	Lewis (draft #7 of 10)

Scouting archive

How this room drafts

Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).

Manager	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	R15	R16
Coby	WR	WR	WR	TE	RB	RB	WR	QB	WR	RB	QB	WR	RB	DEF	RB	K
Max	WR	WR	WR	WR	QB	RB	TE	RB	WR	DEF	WR	RB	TE	QB	RB	K
Aidan	WR	WR	RB	QB	WR	RB	TE	WR	RB	RB	WR	TE	WR	QB	K	DEF
Lewis	RB	RB	QB	WR	WR	WR	RB	TE	WR	DEF	RB	RB	WR	TE	WR	WR
Ethan	RB	RB	RB	WR	QB	WR	WR	TE	DEF	K	RB	RB	QB	WR	TE	DEF
oren	WR	WR	RB	RB	QB	WR	WR	RB	TE	DEF	WR	WR	TE	K	QB	WR
jonah	WR	RB	WR	WR	RB	TE	QB	WR	RB	TE	WR	DEF	QB	RB	WR	K
Spencer	WR	WR	RB	TE	RB	WR	WR	RB	WR	QB	RB	QB	WR	WR	K	DEF
evan	RB	RB	WR	TE	WR	WR	RB	RB	WR	QB	TE	DEF	WR	K	RB	QB
joshua	TE	WR	RB	QB	WR	RB	QB	RB	WR	WR	DEF	WR	WR	WR	K	WR

All drafts on record

League draft meta

Position	Avg first off the board	Median pick	Range
QB	pick 30 (≈ R3)	85	21–192
RB	pick 2 (≈ R1)	76	1–192
WR	pick 3 (≈ R1)	81	1–191
TE	pick 17 (≈ R2)	90	3–192
K	pick 125 (≈ R11)	156	96–192
DEF	pick 110 (≈ R10)	144	84–191