The archive · process meets outcome
Draft History
Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake
1,824Picks
A+
Spencer
2022 · 16 graded picks
#1 of 12
drafters
Hit rate
44%
beat the slot
Smashes
25%
top 15% picks
Busts
13%
bottom 20%
Draft surplus
+158
useful pts
Per pick
+9.9
Best pick
+104
Davante Adams
01
Diagnosis
Spencer's drafting profile
Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.
How Spencer gets better
The film room
The Davante Adams read
Taken at pick 13 in 2022, he returned +104.2 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.
WR is your money position
7 WR picks returned 1.52× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.
RB is your blind spot
5 RB picks returned 69% of the production their slots predict. Spend less capital there or buy it later.
Allen Robinson still hurts
Pick 36 in 2022 came in −27.6 under the slot.
Return on draft capital
Where you hit, where you miss
QB
4.28×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
RB
0.69×
5 picks · 20% beat slot
WR
1.52×
7 picks · 43% beat slot
TE
1.92×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
K
0.00×
1 picks · 0% beat slot
DEF
1.16×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
Early (R1–4)
+100
4 picks · 50% hit
Mid (R5–9)
+68
5 picks · 60% hit
Late (R10+)
−10
7 picks · 29% hit
Signature steals
The picks that won
WR+104
Davante Adams
2022 · Rd 2 · pick 13 · 164.7 useful vs 60.5 expected
QB+85
Patrick Mahomes
2022 · Rd 5 · pick 60 · 110.4 useful vs 25.8 expected
TE+34
George Kittle
2022 · Rd 4 · pick 37 · 70.2 useful vs 36.5 expected
The ones that haunt
The picks that didn't
WR−28
Allen Robinson
2022 · Rd 3 · pick 36 · 10.7 useful vs 38.3 expected
WR−17
Robert Woods
2022 · Rd 8 · pick 85 · 0.0 useful vs 17.2 expected
RB−12
Michael Carter
2022 · Rd 9 · pick 108 · 0.0 useful vs 12.1 expected
02
The room
Prior draft boards
Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.
1.01+54
Antonio Brown
Coby
1.02+19
Julio Jones
Max
1.03+21
Odell Beckham Jr.
Aidan
1.04-64
Todd Gurley
Lewis
1.05+107
David Johnson
Ethan
1.06-54
DeAndre Hopkins
oren
1.07+24
A.J. Green
jonah
1.08-63
Allen Robinson
Spencer
1.09-55
Adrian Peterson
evan
1.10-12
Rob Gronkowski
joshua
2.01-5
Dez Bryant
joshua
2.02-63
Le'Veon Bell
evan
2.03+45
Mike Evans
Spencer
2.04+76
Ezekiel Elliott
jonah
2.05-22
Brandon Marshall
oren
2.06-17
Lamar Miller
Ethan
2.07-54
Jamaal Charles
Lewis
2.08-50
Keenan Allen
Aidan
2.09-45
Jordy Nelson
Max
2.10+15
Amari Cooper
Coby
3.01-10
Brandin Cooks
Coby
3.02-42
Eric Decker
Max
3.03+5
Devonta Freeman
Aidan
3.04+53
Aaron Rodgers
Lewis
3.05-28
Mark Ingram II
Ethan
3.06-44
Doug Martin
oren
3.07-23
Alshon Jeffery
jonah
3.08-42
Eddie Lacy
Spencer
3.09-43
Sammy Watkins
evan
3.10+66
LeSean McCoy
joshua
4.01-12
Cam Newton
joshua
4.02-21
Jordan Reed
evan
4.03+20
Greg Olsen
Spencer
4.04+12
Demaryius Thomas
jonah
4.05-39
Thomas Rawls
oren
4.06+65
T.Y. Hilton
Ethan
4.07+9
Doug Baldwin
Lewis
4.08-23
Russell Wilson
Aidan
4.09-34
Randall Cobb
Max
4.10+13
Delanie Walker
Coby
5.01+6
Carlos Hyde
Coby
5.02+3
Tom Brady
Max
5.03+19
Jarvis Landry
Aidan
5.04+3
Kelvin Benjamin
Lewis
5.05+15
Andrew Luck
Ethan
5.06+22
Ben Roethlisberger
oren
5.07-6
C.J. Anderson
jonah
5.08-18
Latavius Murray
Spencer
5.09-5
Golden Tate
evan
5.10+4
Julian Edelman
joshua
6.01+68
DeMarco Murray
joshua
6.02-25
Jeremy Maclin
evan
6.03+47
Michael Crabtree
Spencer
6.04+59
Travis Kelce
jonah
6.05-23
Donte Moncrief
oren
6.06-25
Michael Floyd
Ethan
6.07-17
Allen Hurns
Lewis
6.08-26
Jonathan Stewart
Aidan
6.09-1
Matt Forte
Max
6.10-21
Ryan Mathews
Coby
7.01+13
Marvin Jones Jr.
Coby
7.02-17
Gary Barnidge
Max
7.03-10
Coby Fleener
Aidan
7.04-4
Jay Ajayi
Lewis
7.05+8
Jordan Matthews
Ethan
7.06+37
Larry Fitzgerald
oren
7.07+72
Drew Brees
jonah
7.08-22
John Brown
Spencer
7.09-22
Jeremy Hill
evan
7.10-21
Carson Palmer
joshua
8.01-20
Dion Lewis
joshua
8.02+12
DeAngelo Williams
evan
8.03-21
Jeremy Langford
Spencer
8.04-22
Tyler Lockett
jonah
8.05-21
Danny Woodhead
oren
8.06+15
Zach Ertz
Ethan
8.07-10
Julius Thomas
Lewis
8.08-19
Josh Gordon
Aidan
8.09-19
Matt Jones
Max
8.10-7
Blake Bortles
Coby
9.01-19
Tavon Austin
Coby
9.02-18
Emmanuel Sanders
Max
9.03+77
Melvin Gordon III
Aidan
9.04-16
DeVante Parker
Lewis
9.05+14
Broncos
Ethan
9.06+6
Tyler Eifert
oren
9.07+4
Frank Gore
jonah
9.08-12
Sterling Shepard
Spencer
9.09-16
Kevin White
evan
9.10-6
DeSean Jackson
joshua
10.01+37
Stefon Diggs
joshua
10.02-16
Philip Rivers
evan
10.03-16
Eli Manning
Spencer
10.04-7
Antonio Gates
jonah
10.05+27
Seahawks
oren
10.06+8
Stephen Gostkowski
Ethan
10.07+0
Rams
Lewis
10.08-14
Chris Ivory
Aidan
10.09+19
Cardinals
Max
10.10-14
Duke Johnson
Coby
11.01-14
Kirk Cousins
Coby
11.02-14
Ted Ginn Jr.
Max
11.03+1
Corey Coleman
Aidan
11.04-8
Rashad Jennings
Lewis
11.05-13
Arian Foster
Ethan
11.06-4
Travis Benjamin
oren
11.07+28
Willie Snead IV
jonah
11.08-12
Ameer Abdullah
Spencer
11.09-12
Martellus Bennett
evan
11.10-3
Panthers
joshua
12.01-12
Sammie Coates
joshua
12.02+3
Texans
evan
12.03+31
Derek Carr
Spencer
12.04+31
Patriots
jonah
12.05-11
Markus Wheaton
oren
12.06-11
Giovani Bernard
Ethan
12.07-11
LeGarrette Blount
Lewis
12.08-7
Jason Witten
Aidan
12.09-10
Isaiah Crowell
Max
12.10-10
Rishard Matthews
Coby
13.01-10
Justin Forsett
Coby
13.02-9
Ben Watson
Max
13.03-9
Laquon Treadwell
Aidan
13.04-9
Charles Johnson
Lewis
13.05-9
Tony Romo
Ethan
13.06-9
Ladarius Green
oren
13.07-8
Andy Dalton
jonah
13.08+1
Will Fuller V
Spencer
13.09+24
Michael Thomas
evan
13.10-9
Kamar Aiken
joshua
14.01-9
Josh Doctson
joshua
14.020
Graham Gano
evan
14.03-9
Dorial Green-Beckham
Spencer
14.04-9
Charles Sims
jonah
14.05-8
Stephen Hauschka
oren
14.06-9
Torrey Smith
Ethan
14.07-8
Zach Miller
Lewis
14.08-2
Jameis Winston
Aidan
14.09+38
Matt Ryan
Max
14.10+15
Chiefs
Coby
15.01-9
Theo Riddick
Coby
15.02-6
T.J. Yeldon
Max
15.03+14
Justin Tucker
Aidan
15.04+20
Mike Wallace
Lewis
15.05-8
Dwayne Allen
Ethan
15.06-8
Tyrod Taylor
oren
15.07-8
Devin Funchess
jonah
15.08-6
Chandler Catanzaro
Spencer
15.09-8
Derrick Henry
evan
15.10+14
Dan Bailey
joshua
16.01-8
Kendall Wright
joshua
16.02-9
Ryan Fitzpatrick
evan
16.03-3
Jaguars
Spencer
16.04-8
Connor Barth
jonah
16.05-8
Steve Smith
oren
16.06+17
Vikings
Ethan
16.07+8
Mohamed Sanu
Lewis
16.08+1
Raiders
Aidan
16.09-3
Blair Walsh
Max
16.10-8
Chris Boswell
Coby
03
Evidence
The year-end receipts
2022
Best drafters in the league
- 01SpencerA+
- 02TylerA
- 03dylanA-
- 04LewisB+
- 05EthanB
- 06orenB-
- 07jonahC+
- 08ZachC
- 09AidanC-
- 10CobyD+
- 11MaxD
- 12evanF
2022
League superlatives
The Oracle
Spencer
Best draft grade · A+ · +9.9/pick
The Sniper
Spencer
Best single pick over slot · Davante Adams +104.2
Bargain Hunter
Lewis
Most value from rounds 10+ · +62
Boom or Bust
Spencer
Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 36
Steady Hand
Coby
Most consistent picks · σ 17
Dead Money
evan
Worst first-round return · −49
Draft day → final standings
Does the draft decide anything?
r = +0.57
Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.
Season by season
Best draft vs the champion's draft
| Season | Best draft | Finished | Champion's draft |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Aidan (A+) | 3rd | Coby (draft #2 of 12) |
| 2024 | Lewis (A+) | 5th | Ethan (draft #5 of 12) |
| 2023 | jonah (A+) | 6th | Max (draft #10 of 12) |
| 2022 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2021 | Lewis (A+) | 2nd | Tyler (draft #4 of 12) |
| 2019 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2018 | jonah (A+) | 1st | jonah (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2017 | joshua (A+) | 1st | joshua (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2016 | jonah (A+) | 2nd | Lewis (draft #7 of 10) |
04
Scouting archive
How this room drafts
Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).
| Manager | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | R15 | R16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jonah | RB | WR | TE | RB | QB | WR | WR | RB | WR | TE | WR | RB | K | RB | DEF | QB |
| dylan | RB | RB | RB | WR | WR | QB | WR | RB | TE | WR | WR | K | WR | DEF | WR | RB |
| Aidan | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | QB | TE | RB | RB | WR | WR | K | WR | RB | DEF |
| Lewis | WR | WR | RB | TE | QB | RB | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | TE | WR | DEF | K | WR |
| Coby | WR | RB | TE | WR | RB | WR | RB | RB | QB | WR | WR | RB | WR | WR | RB | TE |
| evan | WR | WR | WR | RB | RB | RB | TE | RB | QB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | TE | K | QB |
| Tyler | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | RB | QB | TE | TE | WR | RB | RB | RB | WR | K | WR |
| Ethan | RB | RB | WR | QB | TE | WR | WR | RB | WR | RB | WR | WR | K | TE | RB | WR |
| Max | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | TE | QB | DEF | RB | WR | RB | QB | K |
| oren | RB | TE | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | QB | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | K | RB |
| Zach | RB | WR | WR | RB | WR | QB | RB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | TE | RB | K | WR | WR |
| Spencer | RB | WR | WR | TE | QB | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | RB | WR | WR | DEF | K | WR |
All drafts on record
League draft meta
| Position | Avg first off the board | Median pick | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | pick 30 (≈ R3) | 85 | 21–192 |
| RB | pick 2 (≈ R1) | 76 | 1–192 |
| WR | pick 3 (≈ R1) | 81 | 1–191 |
| TE | pick 17 (≈ R2) | 90 | 3–192 |
| K | pick 125 (≈ R11) | 156 | 96–192 |
| DEF | pick 110 (≈ R10) | 144 | 84–191 |