The archive · process meets outcome
Draft History
Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake
1,824Picks
A+
Spencer
2022 · 16 graded picks
#1 of 12
drafters
Hit rate
44%
beat the slot
Smashes
25%
top 15% picks
Busts
13%
bottom 20%
Draft surplus
+158
useful pts
Per pick
+9.9
Best pick
+104
Davante Adams
01
Diagnosis
Spencer's drafting profile
Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.
How Spencer gets better
The film room
The Davante Adams read
Taken at pick 13 in 2022, he returned +104.2 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.
WR is your money position
7 WR picks returned 1.52× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.
RB is your blind spot
5 RB picks returned 69% of the production their slots predict. Spend less capital there or buy it later.
Allen Robinson still hurts
Pick 36 in 2022 came in −27.6 under the slot.
Return on draft capital
Where you hit, where you miss
QB
4.28×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
RB
0.69×
5 picks · 20% beat slot
WR
1.52×
7 picks · 43% beat slot
TE
1.92×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
K
0.00×
1 picks · 0% beat slot
DEF
1.16×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
Early (R1–4)
+100
4 picks · 50% hit
Mid (R5–9)
+68
5 picks · 60% hit
Late (R10+)
−10
7 picks · 29% hit
Signature steals
The picks that won
WR+104
Davante Adams
2022 · Rd 2 · pick 13 · 164.7 useful vs 60.5 expected
QB+85
Patrick Mahomes
2022 · Rd 5 · pick 60 · 110.4 useful vs 25.8 expected
TE+34
George Kittle
2022 · Rd 4 · pick 37 · 70.2 useful vs 36.5 expected
The ones that haunt
The picks that didn't
WR−28
Allen Robinson
2022 · Rd 3 · pick 36 · 10.7 useful vs 38.3 expected
WR−17
Robert Woods
2022 · Rd 8 · pick 85 · 0.0 useful vs 17.2 expected
RB−12
Michael Carter
2022 · Rd 9 · pick 108 · 0.0 useful vs 12.1 expected
02
The room
Prior draft boards
Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.
1.01-52
Christian McCaffrey
Zach
1.02-8
Alvin Kamara
Spencer
1.03-15
Dalvin Cook
dylan
1.04-34
Derrick Henry
Ethan
1.05-20
Ezekiel Elliott
Aidan
1.06-37
Saquon Barkley
oren
1.07-13
Davante Adams
Coby
1.08+51
Travis Kelce
Tyler
1.09-33
Tyreek Hill
Max
1.10+16
Nick Chubb
Lewis
1.11+56
Austin Ekeler
jonah
1.12-28
Aaron Jones Sr.
evan
2.01-53
Stefon Diggs
evan
2.02+91
Jonathan Taylor
jonah
2.03-19
DeAndre Hopkins
Lewis
2.04-50
Calvin Ridley
Max
2.05+42
Najee Harris
Tyler
2.06+75
Justin Jefferson
Coby
2.07-37
DK Metcalf
oren
2.08+34
Joe Mixon
Aidan
2.09-40
Keenan Allen
Ethan
2.10-10
Antonio Gibson
dylan
2.11-15
Darren Waller
Spencer
2.12-48
A.J. Brown
Zach
3.01-35
Chris Carson
Zach
3.02+10
Terry McLaurin
Spencer
3.03-45
Allen Robinson
dylan
3.04-11
Patrick Mahomes
Ethan
3.05+165
Cooper Kupp
Aidan
3.06-40
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
oren
3.07+30
CeeDee Lamb
Coby
3.08+7
George Kittle
Tyler
3.09-42
James Robinson
Max
3.10+70
Josh Allen
Lewis
3.11+43
Chris Godwin Jr.
jonah
3.12+4
Amari Cooper
evan
4.01-3
Robert Woods
evan
4.02+41
Mike Evans
jonah
4.03+34
Tyler Lockett
Lewis
4.04-24
David Montgomery
Max
4.05+16
DJ Moore
Tyler
4.06-27
Josh Jacobs
Coby
4.07-27
Julio Jones
oren
4.08-18
Miles Sanders
Aidan
4.09-28
Gus Edwards
Ethan
4.10-3
Brandon Aiyuk
dylan
4.11+28
D'Andre Swift
Spencer
4.12-8
Adam Thielen
Zach
5.01-28
Mike Davis
Zach
5.02-2
Damien Harris
Spencer
5.03-20
Darrell Henderson Jr.
dylan
5.04+8
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Ethan
5.05+12
Tee Higgins
Aidan
5.06-1
Kyler Murray
oren
5.07-26
Myles Gaskin
Coby
5.08+29
Lamar Jackson
Tyler
5.09-17
Mark Andrews
Max
5.10+25
T.J. Hockenson
Lewis
5.11+4
Kareem Hunt
jonah
5.12-26
Trey Sermon
evan
6.01-25
Robbie Chosen
evan
6.02-1
Chase Claypool
jonah
6.03+5
Chase Edmonds
Lewis
6.04-23
Jerry Jeudy
Max
6.05+59
Diontae Johnson
Tyler
6.06-11
Dak Prescott
Coby
6.07-22
JuJu Smith-Schuster
oren
6.08-21
Odell Beckham Jr.
Aidan
6.09-12
Tyler Boyd
Ethan
6.10-12
Logan Thomas
dylan
6.11+1
Courtland Sutton
Spencer
6.12-16
Russell Wilson
Zach
7.01+38
Ja'Marr Chase
Zach
7.02+81
Justin Herbert
Spencer
7.03+41
Aaron Rodgers
dylan
7.04-20
Javonte Williams
Ethan
7.05-8
Tyler Higbee
Aidan
7.06-19
Raheem Mostert
oren
7.07-4
Melvin Gordon III
Coby
7.08-19
Ronald Jones
Tyler
7.09-9
Antonio Brown
Max
7.10+112
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Lewis
7.11+76
Tom Brady
jonah
7.12-16
Robert Tonyan
evan
8.01-9
Jalen Hurts
evan
8.02+30
Dallas Goedert
jonah
8.03-17
Kenny Golladay
Lewis
8.04-1
Brandin Cooks
Max
8.05-16
Corey Davis
Tyler
8.06-11
Laviska Shenault Jr.
Coby
8.07-16
DeVonta Smith
oren
8.08+34
Matthew Stafford
Aidan
8.09-13
DJ Chark
Ethan
8.10-7
Michael Pittman Jr.
dylan
8.11-15
James Conner
Spencer
8.12-14
Michael Thomas
Zach
9.01-4
Noah Fant
Zach
9.02+62
Mike Williams
Spencer
9.03+6
Jakobi Meyers
dylan
9.04-6
Michael Gallup
Ethan
9.05-14
Will Fuller V
Aidan
9.06-14
Jarvis Landry
oren
9.07-13
Michael Carter
Coby
9.08+4
Marvin Jones Jr.
Tyler
9.09-13
Ryan Tannehill
Max
9.10+68
Jaylen Waddle
Lewis
9.11-12
Zack Moss
jonah
9.12-12
Marquez Callaway
evan
10.01+15
Darnell Mooney
evan
10.02-4
Devin Singletary
jonah
10.03+64
Leonard Fournette
Lewis
10.04-10
Commanders
Max
10.05+3
Rams
Tyler
10.06-11
Mike Gesicki
Coby
10.07+3
Steelers
oren
10.08-11
Kenyan Drake
Aidan
10.09-11
Curtis Samuel
Ethan
10.10-10
Mecole Hardman Jr.
dylan
10.11-3
Henry Ruggs III
Spencer
10.12+41
Hollywood Brown
Zach
11.01-10
David Johnson
Zach
11.02-9
Jamison Crowder
Spencer
11.03+20
Elijah Moore
dylan
11.04-9
Jalen Reagor
Ethan
11.05-9
Tony Pollard
Aidan
11.06+46
Rob Gronkowski
oren
11.07-9
Russell Gage Jr.
Coby
11.08-9
Jamaal Williams
Tyler
11.09-9
Trevor Lawrence
Max
11.10-9
Irv Smith Jr.
Lewis
11.11-1
DeVante Parker
jonah
11.12-9
AJ Dillon
evan
12.01-9
Nyheim Miller-Hines
evan
12.02-2
Ravens
jonah
12.03-2
49ers
Lewis
12.04-9
Sony Michel
Max
12.05+30
Justin Tucker
Tyler
12.06-8
Jonnu Smith
Coby
12.07-8
J.D. McKissic
oren
12.08-8
Evan Engram
Aidan
12.09-9
Gerald Everett
Ethan
12.10+16
Alexander Mattison
dylan
12.11-9
A.J. Green
Spencer
12.12-8
Nelson Agholor
Zach
13.01+6
Harrison Butker
Zach
13.02-8
Hunter Henry
Spencer
13.03+40
Buccaneers
dylan
13.04-8
Malcolm Brown
Ethan
13.05+4
Younghoe Koo
Aidan
13.06-8
Cole Beasley
oren
13.07-7
Sterling Shepard
Coby
13.08-9
Terrace Marshall Jr.
Tyler
13.09-8
Carlos Hyde
Max
13.10-8
Justin Fields
Lewis
13.11-7
Emmanuel Sanders
jonah
13.12-8
Bills
evan
14.01+10
Tyler Bass
evan
14.02-3
Jason Sanders
jonah
14.03+9
Greg Zuerlein
Lewis
14.04-8
Tyrell Williams
Max
14.05-5
Rashod Bateman
Tyler
14.06-7
Ty Johnson
Coby
14.07-7
Phillip Lindsay
oren
14.08+19
Chiefs
Aidan
14.09-7
Bryan Edwards
Ethan
14.10-7
Chuba Hubbard
dylan
14.11+12
Patriots
Spencer
14.12-7
Tarik Cohen
Zach
15.01-7
Cole Kmet
Zach
15.02+21
Matt Gay
Spencer
15.03+4
Ryan Succop
dylan
15.04-6
Parris Campbell
Ethan
15.05+9
Christian Kirk
Aidan
15.06-6
Deshaun Watson
oren
15.07-3
Robbie Gould
Coby
15.08-6
Devontae Booker
Tyler
15.09+2
Rodrigo Blankenship
Max
15.10-6
Broncos
Lewis
15.11-6
Austin Hooper
jonah
15.12-6
Jameis Winston
evan
16.01-5
Eric Ebron
evan
16.02+17
Joe Burrow
jonah
16.03-5
Juwan Johnson
Lewis
16.04-5
Randall Cobb
Max
16.05-5
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Tyler
16.06-5
Chargers
Coby
16.07+30
Daniel Carlson
oren
16.08+52
Hunter Renfrow
Aidan
16.09+8
Browns
Ethan
16.10-5
James White
dylan
16.11-5
Rashaad Penny
Spencer
16.12-4
Trey Lance
Zach
03
Evidence
The year-end receipts
2022
Best drafters in the league
- 01SpencerA+
- 02TylerA
- 03dylanA-
- 04LewisB+
- 05EthanB
- 06orenB-
- 07jonahC+
- 08ZachC
- 09AidanC-
- 10CobyD+
- 11MaxD
- 12evanF
2022
League superlatives
The Oracle
Spencer
Best draft grade · A+ · +9.9/pick
The Sniper
Spencer
Best single pick over slot · Davante Adams +104.2
Bargain Hunter
Lewis
Most value from rounds 10+ · +62
Boom or Bust
Spencer
Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 36
Steady Hand
Coby
Most consistent picks · σ 17
Dead Money
evan
Worst first-round return · −49
Draft day → final standings
Does the draft decide anything?
r = +0.57
Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.
Season by season
Best draft vs the champion's draft
| Season | Best draft | Finished | Champion's draft |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Aidan (A+) | 3rd | Coby (draft #2 of 12) |
| 2024 | Lewis (A+) | 5th | Ethan (draft #5 of 12) |
| 2023 | jonah (A+) | 6th | Max (draft #10 of 12) |
| 2022 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2021 | Lewis (A+) | 2nd | Tyler (draft #4 of 12) |
| 2019 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2018 | jonah (A+) | 1st | jonah (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2017 | joshua (A+) | 1st | joshua (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2016 | jonah (A+) | 2nd | Lewis (draft #7 of 10) |
04
Scouting archive
How this room drafts
Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).
| Manager | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | R15 | R16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jonah | RB | WR | TE | RB | QB | WR | WR | RB | WR | TE | WR | RB | K | RB | DEF | QB |
| dylan | RB | RB | RB | WR | WR | QB | WR | RB | TE | WR | WR | K | WR | DEF | WR | RB |
| Aidan | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | QB | TE | RB | RB | WR | WR | K | WR | RB | DEF |
| Lewis | WR | WR | RB | TE | QB | RB | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | TE | WR | DEF | K | WR |
| Coby | WR | RB | TE | WR | RB | WR | RB | RB | QB | WR | WR | RB | WR | WR | RB | TE |
| evan | WR | WR | WR | RB | RB | RB | TE | RB | QB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | TE | K | QB |
| Tyler | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | RB | QB | TE | TE | WR | RB | RB | RB | WR | K | WR |
| Ethan | RB | RB | WR | QB | TE | WR | WR | RB | WR | RB | WR | WR | K | TE | RB | WR |
| Max | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | TE | QB | DEF | RB | WR | RB | QB | K |
| oren | RB | TE | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | QB | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | K | RB |
| Zach | RB | WR | WR | RB | WR | QB | RB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | TE | RB | K | WR | WR |
| Spencer | RB | WR | WR | TE | QB | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | RB | WR | WR | DEF | K | WR |
All drafts on record
League draft meta
| Position | Avg first off the board | Median pick | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | pick 30 (≈ R3) | 85 | 21–192 |
| RB | pick 2 (≈ R1) | 76 | 1–192 |
| WR | pick 3 (≈ R1) | 81 | 1–191 |
| TE | pick 17 (≈ R2) | 90 | 3–192 |
| K | pick 125 (≈ R11) | 156 | 96–192 |
| DEF | pick 110 (≈ R10) | 144 | 84–191 |