The archive · process meets outcome

Draft History

Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake

1,824Picks

Last year Last 3 years All time

A+

joshua

2017 · 16 graded picks

#1 of 10

drafters

Hit rate

31%

beat the slot

Smashes

25%

top 15% picks

Busts

bottom 20%

Draft surplus

+126

useful pts

Per pick

+7.9

Best pick

+90

DeAndre Hopkins

Diagnosis

joshua's drafting profile

Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.

How joshua gets better

The film room

The DeAndre Hopkins read

Taken at pick 26 in 2017, he returned +90.4 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.

RB is your money position

3 RB picks returned 1.89× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.

QB is your blind spot

2 QB picks returned 44% of the production their slots predict. Spend less capital there or buy it later.

Late-round sniper

Rounds 10+ returned +27 over expectation. The dart throws are landing.

Allen Robinson still hurts

Pick 46 in 2017 came in −28.9 under the slot.

Return on draft capital

Where you hit, where you miss

0.44×

2 picks · 0% beat slot

1.89×

3 picks · 67% beat slot

1.38×

7 picks · 29% beat slot

0.64×

2 picks · 0% beat slot

0.18×

1 picks · 0% beat slot

DEF

2.11×

1 picks · 100% beat slot

Early (R1–4)

+80

4 picks · 50% hit

Mid (R5–9)

+20

5 picks · 20% hit

Late (R10+)

+27

7 picks · 29% hit

Signature steals

The picks that won

DeAndre Hopkins

2017 · Rd 3 · pick 26 · 134.7 useful vs 44.3 expected

+90

Kareem Hunt

2017 · Rd 7 · pick 66 · 111.8 useful vs 23.2 expected

+89

Adam Thielen

2017 · Rd 11 · pick 106 · 70.9 useful vs 12.1 expected

+59

The ones that haunt

The picks that didn't

Allen Robinson

2017 · Rd 5 · pick 46 · 0.0 useful vs 28.9 expected

−29

Drew Brees

2017 · Rd 4 · pick 35 · 22.1 useful vs 39.3 expected

−17

Rob Kelley

2017 · Rd 9 · pick 86 · 0.0 useful vs 17.2 expected

−17

The room

Prior draft boards

Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.

1.01-52

Christian McCaffrey

Zach

1.02-8

Alvin Kamara

Spencer

1.03-15

Dalvin Cook

dylan

1.04-34

Derrick Henry

Ethan

1.05-20

Ezekiel Elliott

Aidan

1.06-37

Saquon Barkley

oren

1.07-13

Davante Adams

Coby

1.08+51

Travis Kelce

Tyler

1.09-33

Tyreek Hill

Max

1.10+16

Nick Chubb

Lewis

1.11+56

Austin Ekeler

jonah

1.12-28

Aaron Jones Sr.

evan

2.01-53

Stefon Diggs

evan

2.02+91

Jonathan Taylor

jonah

2.03-19

DeAndre Hopkins

Lewis

2.04-50

Calvin Ridley

Max

2.05+42

Najee Harris

Tyler

2.06+75

Justin Jefferson

Coby

2.07-37

DK Metcalf

oren

2.08+34

Joe Mixon

Aidan

2.09-40

Keenan Allen

Ethan

2.10-10

Antonio Gibson

dylan

2.11-15

Darren Waller

Spencer

2.12-48

A.J. Brown

Zach

3.01-35

Chris Carson

Zach

3.02+10

Terry McLaurin

Spencer

3.03-45

Allen Robinson

dylan

3.04-11

Patrick Mahomes

Ethan

3.05+165

Cooper Kupp

Aidan

3.06-40

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

oren

3.07+30

CeeDee Lamb

Coby

3.08+7

George Kittle

Tyler

3.09-42

James Robinson

Max

3.10+70

Josh Allen

Lewis

3.11+43

Chris Godwin Jr.

jonah

3.12+4

Amari Cooper

evan

4.01-3

Robert Woods

evan

4.02+41

Mike Evans

jonah

4.03+34

Tyler Lockett

Lewis

4.04-24

David Montgomery

Max

4.05+16

DJ Moore

Tyler

4.06-27

Josh Jacobs

Coby

4.07-27

Julio Jones

oren

4.08-18

Miles Sanders

Aidan

4.09-28

Gus Edwards

Ethan

4.10-3

Brandon Aiyuk

dylan

4.11+28

D'Andre Swift

Spencer

4.12-8

Adam Thielen

Zach

5.01-28

Mike Davis

Zach

5.02-2

Damien Harris

Spencer

5.03-20

Darrell Henderson Jr.

dylan

5.04+8

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Ethan

5.05+12

Tee Higgins

Aidan

5.06-1

Kyler Murray

oren

5.07-26

Myles Gaskin

Coby

5.08+29

Lamar Jackson

Tyler

5.09-17

Mark Andrews

Max

5.10+25

T.J. Hockenson

Lewis

5.11+4

Kareem Hunt

jonah

5.12-26

Trey Sermon

evan

6.01-25

Robbie Chosen

evan

6.02-1

Chase Claypool

jonah

6.03+5

Chase Edmonds

Lewis

6.04-23

Jerry Jeudy

Max

6.05+59

Diontae Johnson

Tyler

6.06-11

Dak Prescott

Coby

6.07-22

JuJu Smith-Schuster

oren

6.08-21

Odell Beckham Jr.

Aidan

6.09-12

Tyler Boyd

Ethan

6.10-12

Logan Thomas

dylan

6.11+1

Courtland Sutton

Spencer

6.12-16

Russell Wilson

Zach

7.01+38

Ja'Marr Chase

Zach

7.02+81

Justin Herbert

Spencer

7.03+41

Aaron Rodgers

dylan

7.04-20

Javonte Williams

Ethan

7.05-8

Tyler Higbee

Aidan

7.06-19

Raheem Mostert

oren

7.07-4

Melvin Gordon III

Coby

7.08-19

Ronald Jones

Tyler

7.09-9

Antonio Brown

Max

7.10+112

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Lewis

7.11+76

Tom Brady

jonah

7.12-16

Robert Tonyan

evan

8.01-9

Jalen Hurts

evan

8.02+30

Dallas Goedert

jonah

8.03-17

Kenny Golladay

Lewis

8.04-1

Brandin Cooks

Max

8.05-16

Corey Davis

Tyler

8.06-11

Laviska Shenault Jr.

Coby

8.07-16

DeVonta Smith

oren

8.08+34

Matthew Stafford

Aidan

8.09-13

DJ Chark

Ethan

8.10-7

Michael Pittman Jr.

dylan

8.11-15

James Conner

Spencer

8.12-14

Michael Thomas

Zach

9.01-4

Noah Fant

Zach

9.02+62

Mike Williams

Spencer

9.03+6

Jakobi Meyers

dylan

9.04-6

Michael Gallup

Ethan

9.05-14

Will Fuller V

Aidan

9.06-14

Jarvis Landry

oren

9.07-13

Michael Carter

Coby

9.08+4

Marvin Jones Jr.

Tyler

9.09-13

Ryan Tannehill

Max

9.10+68

Jaylen Waddle

Lewis

9.11-12

Zack Moss

jonah

9.12-12

Marquez Callaway

evan

10.01+15

Darnell Mooney

evan

10.02-4

Devin Singletary

jonah

10.03+64

Leonard Fournette

Lewis

10.04-10

Commanders

Max

10.05+3

Rams

Tyler

10.06-11

Mike Gesicki

Coby

10.07+3

Steelers

oren

10.08-11

Kenyan Drake

Aidan

10.09-11

Curtis Samuel

Ethan

10.10-10

Mecole Hardman Jr.

dylan

10.11-3

Henry Ruggs III

Spencer

10.12+41

Hollywood Brown

Zach

11.01-10

David Johnson

Zach

11.02-9

Jamison Crowder

Spencer

11.03+20

Elijah Moore

dylan

11.04-9

Jalen Reagor

Ethan

11.05-9

Tony Pollard

Aidan

11.06+46

Rob Gronkowski

oren

11.07-9

Russell Gage Jr.

Coby

11.08-9

Jamaal Williams

Tyler

11.09-9

Trevor Lawrence

Max

11.10-9

Irv Smith Jr.

Lewis

11.11-1

DeVante Parker

jonah

11.12-9

AJ Dillon

evan

12.01-9

Nyheim Miller-Hines

evan

12.02-2

Ravens

jonah

12.03-2

49ers

Lewis

12.04-9

Sony Michel

Max

12.05+30

Justin Tucker

Tyler

12.06-8

Jonnu Smith

Coby

12.07-8

J.D. McKissic

oren

12.08-8

Evan Engram

Aidan

12.09-9

Gerald Everett

Ethan

12.10+16

Alexander Mattison

dylan

12.11-9

A.J. Green

Spencer

12.12-8

Nelson Agholor

Zach

13.01+6

Harrison Butker

Zach

13.02-8

Hunter Henry

Spencer

13.03+40

Buccaneers

dylan

13.04-8

Malcolm Brown

Ethan

13.05+4

Younghoe Koo

Aidan

13.06-8

Cole Beasley

oren

13.07-7

Sterling Shepard

Coby

13.08-9

Terrace Marshall Jr.

Tyler

13.09-8

Carlos Hyde

Max

13.10-8

Justin Fields

Lewis

13.11-7

Emmanuel Sanders

jonah

13.12-8

Bills

evan

14.01+10

Tyler Bass

evan

14.02-3

Jason Sanders

jonah

14.03+9

Greg Zuerlein

Lewis

14.04-8

Tyrell Williams

Max

14.05-5

Rashod Bateman

Tyler

14.06-7

Ty Johnson

Coby

14.07-7

Phillip Lindsay

oren

14.08+19

Chiefs

Aidan

14.09-7

Bryan Edwards

Ethan

14.10-7

Chuba Hubbard

dylan

14.11+12

Patriots

Spencer

14.12-7

Tarik Cohen

Zach

15.01-7

Cole Kmet

Zach

15.02+21

Matt Gay

Spencer

15.03+4

Ryan Succop

dylan

15.04-6

Parris Campbell

Ethan

15.05+9

Christian Kirk

Aidan

15.06-6

Deshaun Watson

oren

15.07-3

Robbie Gould

Coby

15.08-6

Devontae Booker

Tyler

15.09+2

Rodrigo Blankenship

Max

15.10-6

Broncos

Lewis

15.11-6

Austin Hooper

jonah

15.12-6

Jameis Winston

evan

16.01-5

Eric Ebron

evan

16.02+17

Joe Burrow

jonah

16.03-5

Juwan Johnson

Lewis

16.04-5

Randall Cobb

Max

16.05-5

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Tyler

16.06-5

Chargers

Coby

16.07+30

Daniel Carlson

oren

16.08+52

Hunter Renfrow

Aidan

16.09+8

Browns

Ethan

16.10-5

James White

dylan

16.11-5

Rashaad Penny

Spencer

16.12-4

Trey Lance

Zach

Evidence

The year-end receipts

2017

Best drafters in the league

01joshua
A+
02Coby
A
03jonah
A-
04Max
B
05oren
B-
06Spencer
C+
07Lewis
C-
08evan
D+
09Ethan
D
10Aidan
F

2017

League superlatives

The Oracle

joshua

Best draft grade · A+ · +7.9/pick

The Sniper

Coby

Best single pick over slot · Todd Gurley +122.7

Bargain Hunter

oren

Most value from rounds 10+ · +78

Boom or Bust

joshua

Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 37

Steady Hand

Aidan

Most consistent picks · σ 14

Dead Money

oren

Worst first-round return · −82

Draft day → final standings

Does the draft decide anything?

r = +0.57

Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.

Season by season

Best draft vs the champion's draft

Season	Best draft	Finished	Champion's draft
2025	Aidan (A+)	3rd	Coby (draft #2 of 12)
2024	Lewis (A+)	5th	Ethan (draft #5 of 12)
2023	jonah (A+)	6th	Max (draft #10 of 12)
2022	Spencer (A+)	1st	Spencer (draft #1 of 12)
2021	Lewis (A+)	2nd	Tyler (draft #4 of 12)
2019	Spencer (A+)	1st	Spencer (draft #1 of 12)
2018	jonah (A+)	1st	jonah (draft #1 of 10)
2017	joshua (A+)	1st	joshua (draft #1 of 10)
2016	jonah (A+)	2nd	Lewis (draft #7 of 10)

Scouting archive

How this room drafts

Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).

Manager	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	R15	R16
oren	RB	WR	RB	WR	TE	RB	QB	RB	WR	DEF	WR	QB	K	TE	WR	RB
Spencer	RB	RB	WR	WR	WR	QB	TE	TE	RB	RB	WR	K	WR	DEF	QB	WR
Max	WR	WR	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	TE	DEF	QB	RB	K
Coby	WR	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	WR	QB	TE	QB	RB	WR	RB	RB	DEF	K
Aidan	WR	RB	RB	RB	WR	TE	WR	QB	RB	WR	WR	WR	K	DEF	QB	WR
joshua	RB	WR	WR	QB	WR	TE	RB	WR	RB	WR	WR	QB	DEF	TE	K	WR
evan	WR	RB	WR	TE	RB	WR	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	RB	DEF	QB	WR	K
Ethan	RB	WR	RB	QB	WR	WR	RB	WR	TE	RB	WR	RB	DEF	RB	K	RB
jonah	RB	WR	RB	WR	RB	WR	QB	TE	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	DEF	K	QB
Lewis	RB	WR	QB	TE	RB	WR	WR	RB	WR	RB	RB	WR	K	WR	DEF	TE

All drafts on record

League draft meta

Position	Avg first off the board	Median pick	Range
QB	pick 30 (≈ R3)	85	21–192
RB	pick 2 (≈ R1)	76	1–192
WR	pick 3 (≈ R1)	81	1–191
TE	pick 17 (≈ R2)	90	3–192
K	pick 125 (≈ R11)	156	96–192
DEF	pick 110 (≈ R10)	144	84–191