The archive · process meets outcome

Draft History

Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake

1,824Picks

Last year Last 3 years All time

A+

jonah

2018 · 16 graded picks

#1 of 10

drafters

Hit rate

50%

beat the slot

Smashes

19%

top 15% picks

Busts

bottom 20%

Draft surplus

+246

useful pts

Per pick

+15.4

Best pick

+96

Travis Kelce

Diagnosis

jonah's drafting profile

Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.

How jonah gets better

The film room

The Travis Kelce read

Taken at pick 20 in 2018, he returned +96.4 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.

TE is your money position

2 TE picks returned 2.84× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.

Jay Ajayi still hurts

Pick 60 in 2018 came in −20.1 under the slot.

Return on draft capital

Where you hit, where you miss

2.12×

1 picks · 100% beat slot

1.39×

4 picks · 25% beat slot

1.22×

7 picks · 29% beat slot

2.84×

2 picks · 100% beat slot

1.90×

1 picks · 100% beat slot

DEF

2.58×

1 picks · 100% beat slot

Early (R1–4)

+251

4 picks · 75% hit

Mid (R5–9)

5 picks · 40% hit

Late (R10+)

−6

7 picks · 43% hit

Signature steals

The picks that won

Travis Kelce

2018 · Rd 2 · pick 20 · 147.0 useful vs 50.6 expected

+96

Todd Gurley

2018 · Rd 1 · pick 1 · 178.2 useful vs 82.9 expected

+95

Tyreek Hill

2018 · Rd 3 · pick 21 · 123.0 useful vs 51.4 expected

+72

The ones that haunt

The picks that didn't

Jay Ajayi

2018 · Rd 6 · pick 60 · 5.7 useful vs 25.8 expected

−20

Pierre Garcon

2018 · Rd 11 · pick 101 · 0.0 useful vs 14.1 expected

−14

Josh Gordon

2018 · Rd 4 · pick 40 · 20.2 useful vs 32.2 expected

−12

The room

Prior draft boards

Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.

1.01-28

Justin Jefferson

oren

1.02+14

Ja'Marr Chase

Coby

1.03-9

Travis Kelce

evan

1.04+91

Christian McCaffrey

Max

1.05+44

Tyreek Hill

dylan

1.06-17

Austin Ekeler

Zach

1.07-9

Bijan Robinson

jonah

1.08+30

Stefon Diggs

Ethan

1.09-50

Nick Chubb

Tyler

1.10+2

Saquon Barkley

Aidan

1.11-3

Derrick Henry

Lewis

1.12-47

CeeDee Lamb

Spencer

2.01-37

Cooper Kupp

Spencer

2.02+52

A.J. Brown

Lewis

2.03-13

Garrett Wilson

Aidan

2.04-5

Tony Pollard

Tyler

2.05-12

Davante Adams

Ethan

2.06+1

Josh Jacobs

jonah

2.07+47

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Zach

2.08-6

Jaylen Waddle

dylan

2.09-33

Travis Etienne Jr.

Max

2.10-17

DeVonta Smith

evan

2.11+3

Chris Olave

Coby

2.12+4

Joe Mixon

oren

3.01-44

Najee Harris

oren

3.02-21

Calvin Ridley

Coby

3.03-20

Tee Higgins

evan

3.04+11

DK Metcalf

Max

3.05-9

Patrick Mahomes

dylan

3.06+30

Jalen Hurts

Zach

3.07+3

Amari Cooper

jonah

3.08+13

Josh Allen

Ethan

3.09+83

Keenan Allen

Tyler

3.10+50

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Aidan

3.11+31

Jahmyr Gibbs

Lewis

3.12-19

Aaron Jones Sr.

Spencer

4.01-30

Rhamondre Stevenson

Spencer

4.02+8

Mark Andrews

Lewis

4.03+35

Lamar Jackson

Aidan

4.04+11

Justin Fields

Tyler

4.05-31

Dameon Pierce

Ethan

4.06+5

Tyler Lockett

jonah

4.07+21

Breece Hall

Zach

4.08-21

Miles Sanders

dylan

4.09+6

Kenneth Walker III

Max

4.10-22

Alexander Mattison

evan

4.11-17

Joe Burrow

Coby

4.12+14

Justin Herbert

oren

5.01-4

Terry McLaurin

oren

5.02+15

T.J. Hockenson

Coby

5.03-3

James Conner

evan

5.04+4

Brandon Aiyuk

Max

5.05-27

J.K. Dobbins

dylan

5.06-5

Jonathan Taylor

Zach

5.07+84

DJ Moore

jonah

5.08-2

Darren Waller

Ethan

5.09+36

DeAndre Hopkins

Tyler

5.10-10

Diontae Johnson

Aidan

5.11-9

Drake London

Lewis

5.12-18

Chris Godwin Jr.

Spencer

6.01+26

Alvin Kamara

Spencer

6.02+22

D'Andre Swift

Lewis

6.03+41

James Cook III

Aidan

6.04-2

Christian Watson

Tyler

6.05-16

Javonte Williams

Ethan

6.06+38

George Kittle

jonah

6.07+6

Christian Kirk

Zach

6.08+48

Michael Pittman Jr.

dylan

6.09-17

Trevor Lawrence

Max

6.10+64

Mike Evans

evan

6.11-11

Rachaad White

Coby

6.12-13

Dallas Goedert

oren

7.01+7

George Pickens

oren

7.02+32

David Montgomery

Coby

7.03-21

Jerry Jeudy

evan

7.04-20

Cam Akers

Max

7.05-4

Mike Williams

dylan

7.06-19

Dalvin Cook

Zach

7.07-19

Khalil Herbert

jonah

7.08-12

Hollywood Brown

Ethan

7.09+30

Isiah Pacheco

Tyler

7.10+42

Evan Engram

Aidan

7.11-17

Michael Thomas

Lewis

7.12-13

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Spencer

8.01-6

Gabe Davis

Spencer

8.02-10

Deshaun Watson

Lewis

8.03-2

Courtland Sutton

Aidan

8.04-16

Jahan Dotson

Tyler

8.05+69

Raheem Mostert

Ethan

8.06+39

Jordan Addison

jonah

8.07-10

Pat Freiermuth

Zach

8.08+28

David Njoku

dylan

8.09-16

Jamaal Williams

Max

8.10-15

Daniel Jones

evan

8.11-15

Antonio Gibson

Coby

8.12-14

AJ Dillon

oren

9.01-14

Quentin Johnston

oren

9.02-14

Elijah Moore

Coby

9.03-10

Brandin Cooks

evan

9.04-14

Jerick McKinnon

Max

9.05+10

Brian Robinson Jr.

dylan

9.06+47

Adam Thielen

Zach

9.07+17

Tua Tagovailoa

jonah

9.08-13

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Ethan

9.09+9

Dalton Schultz

Tyler

9.10-12

Rashaad Penny

Aidan

9.11+14

Rashee Rice

Lewis

9.12-12

Odell Beckham Jr.

Spencer

10.01-12

Ezekiel Elliott

Spencer

10.02-12

JuJu Smith-Schuster

Lewis

10.03-12

Kadarius Toney

Aidan

10.04+8

49ers

Tyler

10.05+11

Zay Flowers

Ethan

10.06-11

Skyy Moore

jonah

10.07-11

Treylon Burks

Zach

10.08+43

Nico Collins

dylan

10.09-11

Zach Charbonnet

Max

10.10+73

Cowboys

evan

10.11-10

Samaje Perine

Coby

10.12-10

Jaylen Warren

oren

11.01-10

Elijah Mitchell

oren

11.02-3

Romeo Doubs

Coby

11.03+0

Anthony Richardson Sr.

evan

11.04-7

Tyler Higbee

Max

11.05+13

De'Von Achane

dylan

11.06-2

Eagles

Zach

11.07+34

Bills

jonah

11.08-9

D'Onta Foreman

Ethan

11.09-9

Damien Harris

Tyler

11.10-9

Michael Gallup

Aidan

11.11-9

Allen Lazard

Lewis

11.12-9

Darnell Mooney

Spencer

12.01-8

Dak Prescott

Spencer

12.02-9

Marvin Mims Jr.

Lewis

12.03+5

Chuba Hubbard

Aidan

12.04-9

Dalton Kincaid

Tyler

12.05-8

Tyler Allgeier

Ethan

12.06-8

Rashod Bateman

jonah

12.07+31

Justin Tucker

Zach

12.08-8

DJ Chark

dylan

12.09-6

Jakobi Meyers

Max

12.10-9

Jameson Williams

evan

12.11-9

Tank Bigsby

Coby

12.12-8

Jalin Hyatt

oren

13.01+33

Sam LaPorta

oren

13.02-8

Juwan Johnson

Coby

13.03-8

Devin Singletary

evan

13.04-8

Zay Jones

Max

13.05+10

Jets

dylan

13.06-8

Tyler Boyd

Zach

13.07-8

Kenny Gainwell

jonah

13.08-9

Van Jefferson

Ethan

13.09-8

Rashid Shaheed

Tyler

13.10-8

Daniel Carlson

Aidan

13.11-8

Aaron Rodgers

Lewis

13.12-8

Deuce Vaughn

Spencer

14.01-8

Kareem Hunt

Spencer

14.02+24

Evan McPherson

Lewis

14.03-8

Hunter Renfrow

Aidan

14.04-8

Geno Smith

Tyler

14.05-8

Donovan Peoples-Jones

Ethan

14.06+22

Younghoe Koo

jonah

14.07-7

Deon Jackson

Zach

14.08+23

Tyler Bass

dylan

14.09-7

Jonathan Mingo

Max

14.10+18

Harrison Butker

evan

14.11+42

Jake Elliott

Coby

14.12-7

Jason Myers

oren

15.01+26

Steelers

oren

15.02+4

Kirk Cousins

Coby

15.03-6

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

evan

15.04-6

John Metchie III

Max

15.05+8

Jayden Reed

dylan

15.06-6

Chig Okonkwo

Zach

15.07+3

Cole Kmet

jonah

15.08-6

Luke Musgrave

Ethan

15.09-1

Jason Sanders

Tyler

15.10-6

Curtis Samuel

Aidan

15.11-2

Bengals

Lewis

15.12-4

Patriots

Spencer

16.01-5

Robert Woods

Spencer

16.02-5

Michael Carter

Lewis

16.03+28

Ravens

Aidan

16.04-1

Roschon Johnson

Tyler

16.05+24

Nick Folk

Ethan

16.06+8

Brock Purdy

jonah

16.07-5

Rondale Moore

Zach

16.08-5

Wan'Dale Robinson

dylan

16.09-5

Saints

Max

16.10-5

Kendre Miller

evan

16.11-5

Jordan Love

Coby

16.12-4

Chris Evans

oren

Evidence

The year-end receipts

2018

Best drafters in the league

01jonah
A+
02joshua
A
03evan
A-
04Aidan
B
05Zach
B-
06Coby
C+
07oren
C-
08Ethan
D+
09Spencer
D
10Max
F

2018

League superlatives

The Oracle

jonah

Best draft grade · A+ · +15.4/pick

The Sniper

Aidan

Best single pick over slot · Patrick Mahomes +107.6

Bargain Hunter

Coby

Most value from rounds 10+ · +141

Boom or Bust

jonah

Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 37

Steady Hand

Max

Most consistent picks · σ 21

Dead Money

Spencer

Worst first-round return · −82

Draft day → final standings

Does the draft decide anything?

r = +0.57

Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.

Season by season

Best draft vs the champion's draft

Season	Best draft	Finished	Champion's draft
2025	Aidan (A+)	3rd	Coby (draft #2 of 12)
2024	Lewis (A+)	5th	Ethan (draft #5 of 12)
2023	jonah (A+)	6th	Max (draft #10 of 12)
2022	Spencer (A+)	1st	Spencer (draft #1 of 12)
2021	Lewis (A+)	2nd	Tyler (draft #4 of 12)
2019	Spencer (A+)	1st	Spencer (draft #1 of 12)
2018	jonah (A+)	1st	jonah (draft #1 of 10)
2017	joshua (A+)	1st	joshua (draft #1 of 10)
2016	jonah (A+)	2nd	Lewis (draft #7 of 10)

Scouting archive

How this room drafts

Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).

Manager	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	R15	R16
jonah	RB	TE	WR	WR	WR	RB	WR	RB	QB	RB	WR	WR	DEF	TE	K	WR
Spencer	RB	WR	RB	QB	WR	RB	WR	RB	WR	DEF	RB	WR	RB	K	WR	TE
Ethan	RB	WR	WR	QB	RB	WR	RB	TE	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	DEF	K	WR
Zach	WR	RB	TE	WR	QB	WR	TE	WR	RB	RB	DEF	WR	QB	K	WR	RB
Coby	RB	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	WR	TE	RB	WR	QB	WR	RB	K	RB	QB
joshua	WR	WR	WR	RB	QB	RB	TE	WR	TE	WR	DEF	WR	RB	K	WR	RB
evan	RB	RB	WR	WR	TE	WR	RB	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	QB	DEF	K	WR
Max	WR	RB	RB	WR	WR	WR	RB	QB	WR	RB	TE	RB	DEF	RB	K	WR
oren	RB	WR	WR	RB	RB	QB	WR	TE	RB	WR	QB	TE	WR	WR	K	DEF
Aidan	RB	WR	WR	WR	TE	RB	QB	WR	QB	TE	RB	DEF	WR	RB	K	WR

All drafts on record

League draft meta

Position	Avg first off the board	Median pick	Range
QB	pick 30 (≈ R3)	85	21–192
RB	pick 2 (≈ R1)	76	1–192
WR	pick 3 (≈ R1)	81	1–191
TE	pick 17 (≈ R2)	90	3–192
K	pick 125 (≈ R11)	156	96–192
DEF	pick 110 (≈ R10)	144	84–191