vitamins
10 seasons
The archive · process meets outcome

Draft History

Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake
1,824Picks
Last yearLast 3 yearsAll time
Season2023
By year2026 (so far)202520242023202220212019201820172016
A+
jonah
2023 · 16 graded picks
#1 of 12
drafters
Hit rate
69%
beat the slot
Smashes
25%
top 15% picks
Busts
6%
bottom 20%
Draft surplus
+198
useful pts
Per pick
+12.4
Best pick
+84
DJ Moore
01
Diagnosis

jonah's drafting profile

Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.

How jonah gets better

The film room

The DJ Moore read
Taken at pick 55 in 2023, he returned +84.1 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.
TE is your money position
2 TE picks returned 2.41× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.
RB is your blind spot
4 RB picks returned 74% of the production their slots predict. Spend less capital there or buy it later.
The early rounds are leaking
Rounds 1–4 came in −1 under expectation (75% hit rate). That's where leagues are won and lost.
Late-round sniper
Rounds 10+ returned +39 over expectation. The dart throws are landing.
Khalil Herbert still hurts
Pick 79 in 2023 came in −18.9 under the slot.
Return on draft capital

Where you hit, where you miss

QB
2.38×
2 picks · 100% beat slot
RB
0.74×
4 picks · 25% beat slot
WR
1.83×
6 picks · 67% beat slot
TE
2.41×
2 picks · 100% beat slot
K
3.92×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
DEF
4.83×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
Early (R1–4)
−1
4 picks · 75% hit
Mid (R5–9)
+160
5 picks · 80% hit
Late (R10+)
+39
7 picks · 57% hit
Signature steals

The picks that won

WR
DJ Moore
2023 · Rd 5 · pick 55 · 110.5 useful vs 26.4 expected
+84
WR
Jordan Addison
2023 · Rd 8 · pick 90 · 55.3 useful vs 16.0 expected
+39
TE
George Kittle
2023 · Rd 6 · pick 66 · 61.4 useful vs 23.2 expected
+38
The ones that haunt

The picks that didn't

RB
Khalil Herbert
2023 · Rd 7 · pick 79 · 0.0 useful vs 18.9 expected
−19
WR
Skyy Moore
2023 · Rd 10 · pick 114 · 0.0 useful vs 11.1 expected
−11
RB
Bijan Robinson
2023 · Rd 1 · pick 7 · 51.2 useful vs 60.0 expected
−9
02
The room

Prior draft boards

Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.

Board2023 · Snake
2026 · Snake2025 · Snake2024 · Snake2023 · Snake2022 · Snake2021 · Snake2019 · Snake2018 · Snake2017 · Snake2016 · Snake
1.01-28
Justin Jefferson
oren
1.02+14
Ja'Marr Chase
Coby
1.03-9
Travis Kelce
evan
1.04+91
Christian McCaffrey
Max
1.05+44
Tyreek Hill
dylan
1.06-17
Austin Ekeler
Zach
1.07-9
Bijan Robinson
jonah
1.08+30
Stefon Diggs
Ethan
1.09-50
Nick Chubb
Tyler
1.10+2
Saquon Barkley
Aidan
1.11-3
Derrick Henry
Lewis
1.12-47
CeeDee Lamb
Spencer
2.01-37
Cooper Kupp
Spencer
2.02+52
A.J. Brown
Lewis
2.03-13
Garrett Wilson
Aidan
2.04-5
Tony Pollard
Tyler
2.05-12
Davante Adams
Ethan
2.06+1
Josh Jacobs
jonah
2.07+47
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Zach
2.08-6
Jaylen Waddle
dylan
2.09-33
Travis Etienne Jr.
Max
2.10-17
DeVonta Smith
evan
2.11+3
Chris Olave
Coby
2.12+4
Joe Mixon
oren
3.01-44
Najee Harris
oren
3.02-21
Calvin Ridley
Coby
3.03-20
Tee Higgins
evan
3.04+11
DK Metcalf
Max
3.05-9
Patrick Mahomes
dylan
3.06+30
Jalen Hurts
Zach
3.07+3
Amari Cooper
jonah
3.08+13
Josh Allen
Ethan
3.09+83
Keenan Allen
Tyler
3.10+50
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Aidan
3.11+31
Jahmyr Gibbs
Lewis
3.12-19
Aaron Jones Sr.
Spencer
4.01-30
Rhamondre Stevenson
Spencer
4.02+8
Mark Andrews
Lewis
4.03+35
Lamar Jackson
Aidan
4.04+11
Justin Fields
Tyler
4.05-31
Dameon Pierce
Ethan
4.06+5
Tyler Lockett
jonah
4.07+21
Breece Hall
Zach
4.08-21
Miles Sanders
dylan
4.09+6
Kenneth Walker III
Max
4.10-22
Alexander Mattison
evan
4.11-17
Joe Burrow
Coby
4.12+14
Justin Herbert
oren
5.01-4
Terry McLaurin
oren
5.02+15
T.J. Hockenson
Coby
5.03-3
James Conner
evan
5.04+4
Brandon Aiyuk
Max
5.05-27
J.K. Dobbins
dylan
5.06-5
Jonathan Taylor
Zach
5.07+84
DJ Moore
jonah
5.08-2
Darren Waller
Ethan
5.09+36
DeAndre Hopkins
Tyler
5.10-10
Diontae Johnson
Aidan
5.11-9
Drake London
Lewis
5.12-18
Chris Godwin Jr.
Spencer
6.01+26
Alvin Kamara
Spencer
6.02+22
D'Andre Swift
Lewis
6.03+41
James Cook III
Aidan
6.04-2
Christian Watson
Tyler
6.05-16
Javonte Williams
Ethan
6.06+38
George Kittle
jonah
6.07+6
Christian Kirk
Zach
6.08+48
Michael Pittman Jr.
dylan
6.09-17
Trevor Lawrence
Max
6.10+64
Mike Evans
evan
6.11-11
Rachaad White
Coby
6.12-13
Dallas Goedert
oren
7.01+7
George Pickens
oren
7.02+32
David Montgomery
Coby
7.03-21
Jerry Jeudy
evan
7.04-20
Cam Akers
Max
7.05-4
Mike Williams
dylan
7.06-19
Dalvin Cook
Zach
7.07-19
Khalil Herbert
jonah
7.08-12
Hollywood Brown
Ethan
7.09+30
Isiah Pacheco
Tyler
7.10+42
Evan Engram
Aidan
7.11-17
Michael Thomas
Lewis
7.12-13
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Spencer
8.01-6
Gabe Davis
Spencer
8.02-10
Deshaun Watson
Lewis
8.03-2
Courtland Sutton
Aidan
8.04-16
Jahan Dotson
Tyler
8.05+69
Raheem Mostert
Ethan
8.06+39
Jordan Addison
jonah
8.07-10
Pat Freiermuth
Zach
8.08+28
David Njoku
dylan
8.09-16
Jamaal Williams
Max
8.10-15
Daniel Jones
evan
8.11-15
Antonio Gibson
Coby
8.12-14
AJ Dillon
oren
9.01-14
Quentin Johnston
oren
9.02-14
Elijah Moore
Coby
9.03-10
Brandin Cooks
evan
9.04-14
Jerick McKinnon
Max
9.05+10
Brian Robinson Jr.
dylan
9.06+47
Adam Thielen
Zach
9.07+17
Tua Tagovailoa
jonah
9.08-13
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Ethan
9.09+9
Dalton Schultz
Tyler
9.10-12
Rashaad Penny
Aidan
9.11+14
Rashee Rice
Lewis
9.12-12
Odell Beckham Jr.
Spencer
10.01-12
Ezekiel Elliott
Spencer
10.02-12
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Lewis
10.03-12
Kadarius Toney
Aidan
10.04+8
49ers
Tyler
10.05+11
Zay Flowers
Ethan
10.06-11
Skyy Moore
jonah
10.07-11
Treylon Burks
Zach
10.08+43
Nico Collins
dylan
10.09-11
Zach Charbonnet
Max
10.10+73
Cowboys
evan
10.11-10
Samaje Perine
Coby
10.12-10
Jaylen Warren
oren
11.01-10
Elijah Mitchell
oren
11.02-3
Romeo Doubs
Coby
11.03+0
Anthony Richardson Sr.
evan
11.04-7
Tyler Higbee
Max
11.05+13
De'Von Achane
dylan
11.06-2
Eagles
Zach
11.07+34
Bills
jonah
11.08-9
D'Onta Foreman
Ethan
11.09-9
Damien Harris
Tyler
11.10-9
Michael Gallup
Aidan
11.11-9
Allen Lazard
Lewis
11.12-9
Darnell Mooney
Spencer
12.01-8
Dak Prescott
Spencer
12.02-9
Marvin Mims Jr.
Lewis
12.03+5
Chuba Hubbard
Aidan
12.04-9
Dalton Kincaid
Tyler
12.05-8
Tyler Allgeier
Ethan
12.06-8
Rashod Bateman
jonah
12.07+31
Justin Tucker
Zach
12.08-8
DJ Chark
dylan
12.09-6
Jakobi Meyers
Max
12.10-9
Jameson Williams
evan
12.11-9
Tank Bigsby
Coby
12.12-8
Jalin Hyatt
oren
13.01+33
Sam LaPorta
oren
13.02-8
Juwan Johnson
Coby
13.03-8
Devin Singletary
evan
13.04-8
Zay Jones
Max
13.05+10
Jets
dylan
13.06-8
Tyler Boyd
Zach
13.07-8
Kenny Gainwell
jonah
13.08-9
Van Jefferson
Ethan
13.09-8
Rashid Shaheed
Tyler
13.10-8
Daniel Carlson
Aidan
13.11-8
Aaron Rodgers
Lewis
13.12-8
Deuce Vaughn
Spencer
14.01-8
Kareem Hunt
Spencer
14.02+24
Evan McPherson
Lewis
14.03-8
Hunter Renfrow
Aidan
14.04-8
Geno Smith
Tyler
14.05-8
Donovan Peoples-Jones
Ethan
14.06+22
Younghoe Koo
jonah
14.07-7
Deon Jackson
Zach
14.08+23
Tyler Bass
dylan
14.09-7
Jonathan Mingo
Max
14.10+18
Harrison Butker
evan
14.11+42
Jake Elliott
Coby
14.12-7
Jason Myers
oren
15.01+26
Steelers
oren
15.02+4
Kirk Cousins
Coby
15.03-6
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
evan
15.04-6
John Metchie III
Max
15.05+8
Jayden Reed
dylan
15.06-6
Chig Okonkwo
Zach
15.07+3
Cole Kmet
jonah
15.08-6
Luke Musgrave
Ethan
15.09-1
Jason Sanders
Tyler
15.10-6
Curtis Samuel
Aidan
15.11-2
Bengals
Lewis
15.12-4
Patriots
Spencer
16.01-5
Robert Woods
Spencer
16.02-5
Michael Carter
Lewis
16.03+28
Ravens
Aidan
16.04-1
Roschon Johnson
Tyler
16.05+24
Nick Folk
Ethan
16.06+8
Brock Purdy
jonah
16.07-5
Rondale Moore
Zach
16.08-5
Wan'Dale Robinson
dylan
16.09-5
Saints
Max
16.10-5
Kendre Miller
evan
16.11-5
Jordan Love
Coby
16.12-4
Chris Evans
oren
03
Evidence

The year-end receipts

2023

Best drafters in the league

  1. 01jonah
    A+
  2. 02dylan
    A
  3. 03Aidan
    A-
  4. 04Zach
    B+
  5. 05Lewis
    B
  6. 06Tyler
    B-
  7. 07Ethan
    C+
  8. 08evan
    C
  9. 09Coby
    C-
  10. 10Max
    D+
  11. 11oren
    D
  12. 12Spencer
    F
2023

League superlatives

The Oracle
jonah
Best draft grade · A+ · +12.4/pick
The Sniper
Max
Best single pick over slot · Christian McCaffrey +90.9
Bargain Hunter
dylan
Most value from rounds 10+ · +83
Boom or Bust
evan
Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 27
Steady Hand
Spencer
Most consistent picks · σ 16
Dead Money
Tyler
Worst first-round return · −50
Draft day → final standings

Does the draft decide anything?

r = +0.57

Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.

Season by season

Best draft vs the champion's draft

SeasonBest draftFinishedChampion's draft
2025Aidan (A+)3rdCoby (draft #2 of 12)
2024Lewis (A+)5thEthan (draft #5 of 12)
2023jonah (A+)6thMax (draft #10 of 12)
2022Spencer (A+)1stSpencer (draft #1 of 12)
2021Lewis (A+)2ndTyler (draft #4 of 12)
2019Spencer (A+)1stSpencer (draft #1 of 12)
2018jonah (A+)1stjonah (draft #1 of 10)
2017joshua (A+)1stjoshua (draft #1 of 10)
2016jonah (A+)2ndLewis (draft #7 of 10)
04
Scouting archive

How this room drafts

Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).

ManagerR1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9R10R11R12R13R14R15R16
oren
WR
RB
RB
QB
WR
TE
WR
RB
WR
RB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RB
Coby
WR
WR
WR
QB
TE
RB
RB
RB
WR
RB
WR
RB
TE
K
QB
QB
evan
TE
WR
WR
RB
RB
WR
WR
QB
WR
DEF
QB
WR
RB
K
RB
RB
Max
RB
RB
WR
RB
WR
QB
RB
RB
RB
RB
TE
WR
WR
WR
WR
DEF
dylan
WR
WR
QB
RB
RB
WR
WR
TE
RB
WR
RB
WR
DEF
K
WR
WR
Zach
RB
WR
QB
RB
RB
WR
RB
TE
WR
WR
DEF
K
WR
RB
TE
WR
jonah
RB
RB
WR
WR
WR
TE
RB
WR
QB
WR
DEF
WR
RB
K
TE
QB
Ethan
WR
WR
QB
RB
TE
RB
WR
RB
WR
WR
RB
RB
WR
WR
TE
K
Tyler
RB
RB
WR
QB
WR
WR
RB
WR
TE
DEF
RB
TE
WR
QB
K
RB
Aidan
RB
WR
WR
QB
WR
RB
TE
WR
RB
WR
WR
RB
K
WR
WR
DEF
Lewis
RB
WR
RB
TE
WR
RB
WR
QB
WR
WR
WR
WR
QB
K
DEF
RB
Spencer
WR
WR
RB
RB
WR
RB
TE
WR
WR
RB
WR
QB
RB
RB
DEF
WR
All drafts on record

League draft meta

PositionAvg first off the boardMedian pickRange
QBpick 30 (≈ R3)8521–192
RBpick 2 (≈ R1)761–192
WRpick 3 (≈ R1)811–191
TEpick 17 (≈ R2)903–192
Kpick 125 (≈ R11)15696–192
DEFpick 110 (≈ R10)14484–191