The archive · process meets outcome
Draft History
Draft archive9 drafts graded2016–2025 · Snake
1,824Picks
A+
Spencer
2022 · 16 graded picks
#1 of 12
drafters
Hit rate
44%
beat the slot
Smashes
25%
top 15% picks
Busts
13%
bottom 20%
Draft surplus
+158
useful pts
Per pick
+9.9
Best pick
+104
Davante Adams
01
Diagnosis
Spencer's drafting profile
Value = useful started points the pick gave the team that drafted him. Expected = what that pick slot has historically returned in this league.
How Spencer gets better
The film room
The Davante Adams read
Taken at pick 13 in 2022, he returned +104.2 over what that slot usually gives you. Trust the board when it screams.
WR is your money position
7 WR picks returned 1.52× what their draft cost predicts. Keep buying there.
RB is your blind spot
5 RB picks returned 69% of the production their slots predict. Spend less capital there or buy it later.
Allen Robinson still hurts
Pick 36 in 2022 came in −27.6 under the slot.
Return on draft capital
Where you hit, where you miss
QB
4.28×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
RB
0.69×
5 picks · 20% beat slot
WR
1.52×
7 picks · 43% beat slot
TE
1.92×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
K
0.00×
1 picks · 0% beat slot
DEF
1.16×
1 picks · 100% beat slot
Early (R1–4)
+100
4 picks · 50% hit
Mid (R5–9)
+68
5 picks · 60% hit
Late (R10+)
−10
7 picks · 29% hit
Signature steals
The picks that won
WR+104
Davante Adams
2022 · Rd 2 · pick 13 · 164.7 useful vs 60.5 expected
QB+85
Patrick Mahomes
2022 · Rd 5 · pick 60 · 110.4 useful vs 25.8 expected
TE+34
George Kittle
2022 · Rd 4 · pick 37 · 70.2 useful vs 36.5 expected
The ones that haunt
The picks that didn't
WR−28
Allen Robinson
2022 · Rd 3 · pick 36 · 10.7 useful vs 38.3 expected
WR−17
Robert Woods
2022 · Rd 8 · pick 85 · 0.0 useful vs 17.2 expected
RB−12
Michael Carter
2022 · Rd 9 · pick 108 · 0.0 useful vs 12.1 expected
02
The room
Prior draft boards
Reopen any draft and see how the room came together, pick by pick. Colors by position; the number is value over slot.
1.01-47
Jonathan Taylor
jonah
1.02+46
Christian McCaffrey
dylan
1.03+51
Austin Ekeler
Aidan
1.04+94
Justin Jefferson
Lewis
1.05+23
Cooper Kupp
Coby
1.06-49
Ja'Marr Chase
evan
1.07+49
Derrick Henry
Tyler
1.08-25
Najee Harris
Ethan
1.09-33
D'Andre Swift
Max
1.10+2
Dalvin Cook
oren
1.11+16
Joe Mixon
Zach
1.12-10
Alvin Kamara
Spencer
2.01+104
Davante Adams
Spencer
2.02+64
Stefon Diggs
Zach
2.03+101
Travis Kelce
oren
2.04-30
CeeDee Lamb
Max
2.05+43
Saquon Barkley
Ethan
2.06-6
Leonard Fournette
Tyler
2.07-26
Mike Evans
evan
2.08-7
Aaron Jones Sr.
Coby
2.09-20
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Lewis
2.10+22
Nick Chubb
Aidan
2.11-42
Javonte Williams
dylan
2.12+101
Tyreek Hill
jonah
3.01+24
Mark Andrews
jonah
3.02+11
James Conner
dylan
3.03-16
Michael Pittman Jr.
Aidan
3.04-16
Ezekiel Elliott
Lewis
3.05-33
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Coby
3.06-44
Keenan Allen
evan
3.07+13
Tee Higgins
Tyler
3.08+72
A.J. Brown
Ethan
3.09-28
DJ Moore
Max
3.10-40
Elijah Mitchell
oren
3.11-25
Courtland Sutton
Zach
3.12-28
Allen Robinson
Spencer
4.01+34
George Kittle
Spencer
4.02-35
Travis Etienne Jr.
Zach
4.03-31
Diontae Johnson
oren
4.04-32
Chase Edmonds
Max
4.05-8
Josh Allen
Ethan
4.06+32
Mike Williams
Tyler
4.07-30
Cam Akers
evan
4.08+28
Jaylen Waddle
Coby
4.09-9
Darren Waller
Lewis
4.10+6
Terry McLaurin
Aidan
4.11+1
Gabe Davis
dylan
4.12+2
Breece Hall
jonah
5.01+28
Lamar Jackson
jonah
5.02+19
JuJu Smith-Schuster
dylan
5.03+15
Jerry Jeudy
Aidan
5.04-11
Justin Herbert
Lewis
5.05-18
AJ Dillon
Coby
5.06-6
David Montgomery
evan
5.07+69
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Tyler
5.08+20
Dalton Schultz
Ethan
5.09-1
Dameon Pierce
Max
5.10+31
DK Metcalf
oren
5.11-18
Brandin Cooks
Zach
5.12+85
Patrick Mahomes
Spencer
6.01+5
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Spencer
6.02+1
Kyler Murray
Zach
6.03+14
Chris Godwin Jr.
oren
6.04-14
Darnell Mooney
Max
6.05-6
Michael Thomas
Ethan
6.06-11
J.K. Dobbins
Tyler
6.07+18
Josh Jacobs
evan
6.08-12
Rashod Bateman
Coby
6.09+31
Rhamondre Stevenson
Lewis
6.10+12
Hollywood Brown
Aidan
6.11+90
Jalen Hurts
dylan
6.12-20
Elijah Moore
jonah
7.01-21
Hunter Renfrow
jonah
7.02+44
Amari Cooper
dylan
7.03-14
Russell Wilson
Aidan
7.04-2
Devin Singletary
Lewis
7.05-20
Rashaad Penny
Coby
7.06+36
T.J. Hockenson
evan
7.07+50
Joe Burrow
Tyler
7.08-19
Brandon Aiyuk
Ethan
7.09+11
Christian Kirk
Max
7.10-18
DeAndre Hopkins
oren
7.11+20
Tony Pollard
Zach
7.12+7
DeVonta Smith
Spencer
8.01-17
Robert Woods
Spencer
8.02-17
George Pickens
Zach
8.03-9
Tom Brady
oren
8.04+11
Adam Thielen
Max
8.05-4
Kareem Hunt
Ethan
8.06+16
Dallas Goedert
Tyler
8.07-12
Damien Harris
evan
8.08+26
Miles Sanders
Coby
8.09+8
Allen Lazard
Lewis
8.10-15
Dawson Knox
Aidan
8.11-8
Antonio Gibson
dylan
8.12-14
Melvin Gordon III
jonah
9.01-14
Drake London
jonah
9.02+4
Zach Ertz
dylan
9.03-13
Darrell Henderson Jr.
Aidan
9.04-14
Kadarius Toney
Lewis
9.05-9
Dak Prescott
Coby
9.06-14
Aaron Rodgers
evan
9.07-13
Cole Kmet
Tyler
9.08+3
Tyler Lockett
Ethan
9.09-3
Pat Freiermuth
Max
9.10+17
Cordarrelle Patterson
oren
9.11+8
Jakobi Meyers
Zach
9.12-12
Michael Carter
Spencer
10.01-12
Nyheim Miller-Hines
Spencer
10.02-12
Skyy Moore
Zach
10.03-12
Alexander Mattison
oren
10.04-11
Trey Lance
Max
10.05-11
James Cook III
Ethan
10.06-11
Nico Collins
Tyler
10.07-11
Sammy Watkins
evan
10.08+15
Chris Olave
Coby
10.09+33
Kenneth Walker III
Lewis
10.10-10
Kenny Gainwell
Aidan
10.11-10
Chase Claypool
dylan
10.12-10
David Njoku
jonah
11.01-10
Julio Jones
jonah
11.02-9
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
dylan
11.03-9
DeVante Parker
Aidan
11.04+3
Jamaal Williams
Lewis
11.05-9
Isaiah McKenzie
Coby
11.06-9
Treylon Burks
evan
11.07+2
Raheem Mostert
Tyler
11.08-9
Jahan Dotson
Ethan
11.09+38
Cowboys
Max
11.10-9
Michael Gallup
oren
11.11+9
Bills
Zach
11.12-9
Mark Ingram II
Spencer
12.01-9
DJ Chark
Spencer
12.02-9
Albert Okwuegbunam Jr.
Zach
12.03-8
Russell Gage Jr.
oren
12.04-9
J.D. McKissic
Max
12.05-8
Jalen Tolbert
Ethan
12.06-8
Tyler Allgeier
Tyler
12.07-2
Tyler Boyd
evan
12.080
James Robinson
Coby
12.09-9
Irv Smith Jr.
Lewis
12.10-9
Kenny Golladay
Aidan
12.11+22
Justin Tucker
dylan
12.12-8
Khalil Herbert
jonah
13.01+10
Evan McPherson
jonah
13.02-8
Odell Beckham Jr.
dylan
13.03+2
Harrison Butker
Aidan
13.04-8
Zay Jones
Lewis
13.05-7
Romeo Doubs
Coby
13.06-1
Buccaneers
evan
13.07-8
D'Onta Foreman
Tyler
13.08+29
Daniel Carlson
Ethan
13.09-8
Jarvis Landry
Max
13.10+2
Joshua Palmer
oren
13.11-8
Brian Robinson Jr.
Zach
13.12+30
Garrett Wilson
Spencer
14.01+1
Chargers
Spencer
14.02+26
Tyler Bass
Zach
14.030
Colts
oren
14.04-8
Isiah Pacheco
Max
14.05-8
Robert Tonyan
Ethan
14.06-7
Wan'Dale Robinson
Tyler
14.07-7
Tyler Higbee
evan
14.08-7
Rondale Moore
Coby
14.09+53
49ers
Lewis
14.10-7
Marvin Jones Jr.
Aidan
14.11+2
Rams
dylan
14.12-7
Rachaad White
jonah
15.01+3
Broncos
jonah
15.02-6
Mecole Hardman Jr.
dylan
15.03-6
Sony Michel
Aidan
15.04-6
Matt Gay
Lewis
15.05-6
Zamir White
Coby
15.06-4
Wil Lutz
evan
15.07-3
Jason Sanders
Tyler
15.08-6
Darrel Williams
Ethan
15.09-6
Derek Carr
Max
15.10+6
Chris Boswell
oren
15.11-6
Christian Watson
Zach
15.12-6
Nick Folk
Spencer
16.01-5
Jameson Williams
Spencer
16.02-5
Randall Cobb
Zach
16.03+3
Jeff Wilson Jr.
oren
16.04-5
Robbie Gould
Max
16.05+3
Parris Campbell
Ethan
16.06-5
James Washington
Tyler
16.07-5
Matthew Stafford
evan
16.08-5
Hunter Henry
Coby
16.09-5
Robbie Chosen
Lewis
16.10-4
Patriots
Aidan
16.11-5
Jerick McKinnon
dylan
16.12+10
Kirk Cousins
jonah
03
Evidence
The year-end receipts
2022
Best drafters in the league
- 01SpencerA+
- 02TylerA
- 03dylanA-
- 04LewisB+
- 05EthanB
- 06orenB-
- 07jonahC+
- 08ZachC
- 09AidanC-
- 10CobyD+
- 11MaxD
- 12evanF
2022
League superlatives
The Oracle
Spencer
Best draft grade · A+ · +9.9/pick
The Sniper
Spencer
Best single pick over slot · Davante Adams +104.2
Bargain Hunter
Lewis
Most value from rounds 10+ · +62
Boom or Bust
Spencer
Widest spread between hits and misses · σ 36
Steady Hand
Coby
Most consistent picks · σ 17
Dead Money
evan
Worst first-round return · −49
Draft day → final standings
Does the draft decide anything?
r = +0.57
Draft day decides this league. Based on 102 team-seasons.
Season by season
Best draft vs the champion's draft
| Season | Best draft | Finished | Champion's draft |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Aidan (A+) | 3rd | Coby (draft #2 of 12) |
| 2024 | Lewis (A+) | 5th | Ethan (draft #5 of 12) |
| 2023 | jonah (A+) | 6th | Max (draft #10 of 12) |
| 2022 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2021 | Lewis (A+) | 2nd | Tyler (draft #4 of 12) |
| 2019 | Spencer (A+) | 1st | Spencer (draft #1 of 12) |
| 2018 | jonah (A+) | 1st | jonah (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2017 | joshua (A+) | 1st | joshua (draft #1 of 10) |
| 2016 | jonah (A+) | 2nd | Lewis (draft #7 of 10) |
04
Scouting archive
How this room drafts
Each cell is the position that manager most often takes in that round over the window (last 3 drafts when viewing last year).
| Manager | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | R15 | R16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jonah | RB | WR | TE | RB | QB | WR | WR | RB | WR | TE | WR | RB | K | RB | DEF | QB |
| dylan | RB | RB | RB | WR | WR | QB | WR | RB | TE | WR | WR | K | WR | DEF | WR | RB |
| Aidan | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | QB | TE | RB | RB | WR | WR | K | WR | RB | DEF |
| Lewis | WR | WR | RB | TE | QB | RB | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | TE | WR | DEF | K | WR |
| Coby | WR | RB | TE | WR | RB | WR | RB | RB | QB | WR | WR | RB | WR | WR | RB | TE |
| evan | WR | WR | WR | RB | RB | RB | TE | RB | QB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | TE | K | QB |
| Tyler | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | RB | QB | TE | TE | WR | RB | RB | RB | WR | K | WR |
| Ethan | RB | RB | WR | QB | TE | WR | WR | RB | WR | RB | WR | WR | K | TE | RB | WR |
| Max | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | TE | QB | DEF | RB | WR | RB | QB | K |
| oren | RB | TE | RB | WR | WR | WR | WR | QB | RB | RB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | K | RB |
| Zach | RB | WR | WR | RB | WR | QB | RB | WR | WR | WR | DEF | TE | RB | K | WR | WR |
| Spencer | RB | WR | WR | TE | QB | RB | WR | WR | RB | RB | RB | WR | WR | DEF | K | WR |
All drafts on record
League draft meta
| Position | Avg first off the board | Median pick | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | pick 30 (≈ R3) | 85 | 21–192 |
| RB | pick 2 (≈ R1) | 76 | 1–192 |
| WR | pick 3 (≈ R1) | 81 | 1–191 |
| TE | pick 17 (≈ R2) | 90 | 3–192 |
| K | pick 125 (≈ R11) | 156 | 96–192 |
| DEF | pick 110 (≈ R10) | 144 | 84–191 |